Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41363895›Full record

SynthesisInvestigative ophthalmology & visual science2025

Refractive Error Centile Curves for Asian and Western Children and Adolescents: An Individual Level Meta-Analysis.

Daniel Ian Flitcroft, Gareth Lingham, Gui-Shuang Ying, Hongguang Cui, David A Mackey, Jost B Jonas, Mukharram M Bikbov, Siofra Harrington, Kathryn J Saunders, James Loughman

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Investigative ophthalmology & visual science, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Corrected Percentile Curves to Track Myopisation-The Anyang Childhood Eye Study.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Refractive development III: Variations in emmetropia and ametropia.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2025
    Article
  6. Baseline metrics that may predict future myopia in young children.Ophthalmic & physiological optics : the journal of the British College of Ophthalmic Opticians (Optometrists) · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Daniel Ian FlitcroftCentre for Eye Research Ireland (CERI), Environmental Sustainability and Health Institute (ESHI), Technological University Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
Gareth LinghamCentre for Eye Research Ireland (CERI), Environmental Sustainability and Health Institute (ESHI), Technological University Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
Gui-Shuang YingCenter for Preventive Ophthalmology and Biostatistics, Department of Ophthalmology, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, United States.
Hongguang CuiThe First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, People's Republic of China.
David A MackeyCentre for Ophthalmology and Visual Science, University of Western Australia, Lions Eye Institute, Perth, Australia.
Jost B JonasRothschild Foundation Hospital, Institut Français de Myopie, Paris, France.
Mukharram M BikbovUfa Eye Research Institute of Bashkir State Medical University, Ufa, Russia.
Siofra HarringtonCentre for Eye Research Ireland (CERI), Environmental Sustainability and Health Institute (ESHI), Technological University Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.
Kathryn J SaundersCentre for Optometry and Vision Science, University of Ulster, Coleraine, Northern Ireland.
James LoughmanCentre for Eye Research Ireland (CERI), Environmental Sustainability and Health Institute (ESHI), Technological University Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to generate childhood and adolescent refractive centile curves for East Asian and Western populations to facilitate evidence-based myopia control. Methods: Spherical equivalent refractive (SER) error from 70,022 eyes of participants (aged = 6-20 years) from 9 large population-based studies were included (40,132 European/North American/Australian, and 29,890 East Asian). Both cycloplegic (n = 36,344) and non-cycloplegic refraction (n = 47,314), with some studies using both techniques. A new method of adjusting the distribution of cycloplegic and non-cycloplegic refractive data was developed and validated. Results: Large regional differences were found in refractive centiles, with the centiles in East Asians being more myopic than the corresponding centiles in Western children and adolescents after age 8 years. The magnitude of these regional differences among the 50th, 75th, and 90th myopia centiles increased with increasing age until stabilizing at approximately ages 16 to 18 years in female patients, higher centiles (i.e. more myopic eyes) showing less stabilization in male subjects. Multi-Gaussian models fit raw SER distributions better than Box-Cox Power Exponential (BCPE) models, particularly for more highly skewed SER distributions. Using a multivariable linear regression model, estimated cycloplegic SER distributions from non-cycloplegic SER were not significantly different from the measured distribution (Cramér-von Mises test, all P ≥ 0.41). Separate cycloplegic and non-cycloplegic refractive centiles were developed for both regions. Conclusions: Population-based centile analysis offers the prospect of estimating the risk of myopia development in individuals and monitoring the treatment efficacy of myopia control interventions. This meta-analysis shows the need for age-, sex-, and region-specific reference curves.

Indexed as

Asian PeopleMyopiaRefraction, OcularRefractive ErrorsWhite PeopleAdolescentChildFemaleHumansMaleReference ValuesYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID41363895
PMCPMC12701614

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.