Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41360448›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2025

Cost-effectiveness analysis of enfortumab vedotin and pembrolizumab versus chemotherapy for patients with untreated advanced urothelial cancer in the United Kingdom.

Qiuji Wu, Qiu Li, Yi Qin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Qiuji WuWest China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Qiu LiWest China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
Yi QinSichuan Cancer Hospital and Institute, Chengdu, Sichuan, China qinyi@scszlyy.org.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0003-8190-9442

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesEnfortumab vedotin and pembrolizumab (EV-Pem) have recently been shown to improve the prognosis of patients with untreated locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma (la/mUC) in a randomised phase three clinical trial. This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of EV-Pem as a first-line treatment for patients with la/mUC.

designWe developed a three-state Markov model to simulate the treatment pathways for patients with la/mUC. Costs associated with drugs, treatment monitoring, adverse event management and utility inputs were obtained from national cost databases, trial data and existing literature. In addition to the base-case analysis, sensitivity, threshold and subgroup analyses were performed to assess uncertainty.

settingThe National Health Service and Personal Social Services perspective.

participantsA hypothetical English cohort of patients with la/mUC.

interventionsFirst-line treatment with either EV-Pem or chemotherapy.

main outcome measuresCosts, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated over a lifetime horizon as primary outcomes.

resultsIn patients with la/mUC, EV-Pem increased health outcomes by 0.82 QALYs (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 0.66 to 0.92) at an incremental cost of £76 793.75 (95% UI 75 759.96 to 77 750.72) versus chemotherapy, yielding an ICER of £93 650.92 per QALY (95% UI £83 471.84 to 116 739.74). One-way sensitivity analysis revealed that factors such as utility values, EV prices and discount rates influence model outcomes, but these variations did not alter the conclusion. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicated that, at a willingness-to-pay threshold of £30 000 per QALY, the probability of cost-effectiveness is 0. Results remained robust across subgroup analyses.

conclusionIn this economic model analysis, EV-Pem is not cost-effective compared with first-line chemotherapy in the UK, and a price reduction may be necessary.

Indexed as

Antibodies, MonoclonalAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedAntineoplastic Agents, ImmunologicalAntineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsCarcinoma, Transitional CellUrologic NeoplasmsCost-Benefit AnalysisCost-Effectiveness AnalysisHumansMarkov ChainsQuality-Adjusted Life YearsUnited KingdomAntibodies, MonoclonalAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedAntineoplastic Agents, ImmunologicalpembrolizumabHealth Care CostsHealth economicsUrological tumours

Identifiers

PMID41360448
PMCPMC12684098

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.