ArticleNature communications2025
Evidence of a cascading positive tipping point towards electric vehicles.
Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
- A method to identify positive tipping points to accelerate low-carbon transitions and actions to trigger them.Sustainability science · 2026Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Electric vehicles have recently seen rapid innovation, decline in cost and a rise in popularity. Past a tipping point where uptake becomes self-propelling, electric vehicles could irreversibly replace internal combustion engine vehicles, as industry discontinues conventional production chains. Here we provide evidence that this tipping point has occurred or lies within the next few years in lead markets of the European Union and China, and potentially the United States, which could spill out into peripheral vehicle markets across the rest of the world. The historical evidence shows a sudden decline in conventional vehicle sales starting around 2019 concurrent to a rapid rise in sales of electric vehicles. Critically, we observe a loss of resilience of the incumbent technology consistent with the approach to a tipping point. We use simulations of technology evolution to identify timescales for cost-parity and policy frameworks that could accelerate the transition to largely eliminate combustion vehicles before 2050.
Identifiers
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.