Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41353121›Full record

ArticleBMC emergency medicine2025

Post-earthquake emergency nurse allocation: a human resource management approach based on simulation modeling.

Bircan Kara, Ali Utku Şahin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC emergency medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Bircan KaraHatay Mustafa Kemal University Hospital, Hatay, Türkiye. bircankara91@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0001-8220-8929
Ali Utku ŞahinFaculty of Health Science, Hatay Mustafa Kemal University, Hatay, Türkiye.ORCID 0000-0002-1962-0192

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study aims to develop a mathematical model to estimate the number of emergency nurses required to ensure the continuity of healthcare services in the aftermath of an earthquake.

backgroundThe February 6, 2023, Kahramanmaraş earthquake, which severely impacted southeastern Turkey, caused widespread devastation in Hatay province. The destruction of infrastructure, along with the large number of casualties and injuries, created an overwhelming demand for medical services, putting an extraordinary strain on the region’s healthcare system. Hatay, with limited medical resources and a single operating hospital, faced significant challenges in maintaining adequate care for the injured. This situation underscores the critical need for effective planning and resource allocation, particularly in estimating the number of emergency nurses required to manage the immediate aftermath of such disasters.

methodsThe study focused on Hatay Mustafa Kemal University Hospital, the sole healthcare provider in Hatay, following the 2023 Kahramanmaraş earthquakes. Using real field data (e.g., building collapse rates, injury estimations, and population distribution), a simulation was conducted. The M/M/s queuing theory model was applied to calculate the number of nurses required, factoring in patient arrival rates, nurse care capacity, and working shifts.

resultsBased on an estimated 11,645 injured patients over 144 h, the model concluded that 27 nurses per shift (totaling 81 nurses for 24-hour care) would be necessary to sustain full-capacity service. The projections closely aligned with actual hospital data.

conclusionThe model provides a scalable, scenario-sensitive planning tool that can support emergency preparedness efforts. Its basis in real disaster data enhances both its reliability and applicability, positioning it as a practical decision-making aid for policymakers and hospital administrators aiming to strengthen disaster organizational resilience through evidence-based nurse staffing strategies.

Indexed as

Disaster PlanningEarthquakesEmergency NursingPersonnel Staffing and SchedulingResource AllocationComputer SimulationDisaster NursingHumansModels, TheoreticalTurkeyDisaster nursingEarthquake preparednessMathematical modelingStaffing planning

Identifiers

PMID41353121
PMCPMC12797941

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.