Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41351117›Full record

SynthesisJournal of neuroengineering and rehabilitation2025

Prediction models for functional outcomes in prolonged disorders of consciousness: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Tian Shu, Hong Yang, Guangli Zhao, Minxia Jin, Penny Ping Qin, Cengceng Xie, Yaya Guan, Pengjiang Xian, Lin Chen, Jingming Hou and 1 more

Abstract readSystematic ReviewMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Journal of neuroengineering and rehabilitation, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Tian Shu *Department of Rehabilitation, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing, China.
Hong Yang *Department of Rehabilitation, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing, China.
Guangli Zhao *Department of Rehabilitation, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing, China.
Minxia JinDepartment of Rehabilitation Sciences, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Penny Ping QinDepartment of Rehabilitation Sciences, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Cengceng XieDepartment of Rehabilitation, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing, China.
Yaya GuanDepartment of Rehabilitation, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing, China.
Pengjiang XianDepartment of Rehabilitation, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing, China.
Lin ChenDepartment of Rehabilitation, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing, China.
Jingming HouDepartment of Rehabilitation, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University (Army Medical University), Chongqing, China. jingminghou@tmmu.edu.cn.
Rebecca Laidi KanDepartment of Rehabilitation Sciences, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong SAR, China. rebeccalaidi.kan@connect.polyu.hk.

Funding

Chongqing Medical Youth Outstanding Talent Project YXQN202417Chongqing Young and Middle aged Medical High-end Talent Project YXGD202460
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrecise prognostication of functional outcomes in individuals with prolonged disorders of consciousness (PDOC) is crucial for clinical decision-making. We systematically reviewed and meta-analyzed prognostic models for functional outcomes, as well as promising prognostic factors in PDOC.

methodsWe conducted a TRIPOD-SRMA-compliant systematic review, searching four databases through July 15, 2024. Risk of bias (ROB) was assessed by Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool. Pooled sensitivity, specificity and the area under the summary receiver operating characteristic curve (SROC-AUC) were calculated based on outcome classifications (consciousness recovery, consciousness improvement, and favorable prognosis) and modality types (neurophysiological and demographic & clinical). Candidate predictors were ranked across studies, and promising factors were identified from models with both sensitivity and specificity exceeding 80%.

results38 studies comprising 54 prognostic models were included in the systematic review, and 20 models from 19 studies were included in the meta-analysis. None of the included studies were assessed as having a low ROB. The overall pooled sensitivity was 82% (95% CI: 75-87%) and specificity was 85% (95% CI: 80-89%). The pooled SROC-AUC was 0.875 (95% CI: 0.842-0.911). Neurophysiological models demonstrated higher sensitivity. Both sensitivity and specificity exceeded 80% in predicting consciousness improvement but not in consciousness recovery or favorable prognosis. Male sex, minimally conscious state, and traumatic etiology indicated better outcomes, whereas no specific neurophysiological factor could be confirmed due to heterogeneity across studies. Most studies reported limited model performance metrics, especially clinical utility.

conclusionsAlthough neurophysiological factors improve prognostic sensitivity, models' clinical impact remains limited without external validation. Future work must enhance clinical translation through more rigorous model development and validation.

Indexed as

Consciousness DisordersHumansPrognosisCandidate predictorsFunctional outcomesPrediction modelsProlonged disorders of consciousness

Identifiers

PMID41351117
PMCPMC12681177

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.