Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41345879›Full record

SynthesisMolecular autism2025

Maternal rheumatoid arthritis and the risk of offspring autism spectrum disorder: two national birth cohorts and a meta-analysis.

Evora Hailin Zhu, Benjamin Hk Yip, Caroline Fyfe, Eugene Merzon, Arad Kodesh, Johan Askling, Abraham Reichenberg, Weiyao Yin, Stephen Z Levine, Sven Sandin

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Molecular autism, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Evora Hailin ZhuJockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Benjamin Hk YipJockey Club School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China. benyip@cuhk.edu.hk.
Caroline FyfeDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Eugene MerzonLeumit Health Services, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Arad KodeshMeuhedet Health Services, Mental Health, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Johan AsklingClinical Epidemiology Division, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Abraham ReichenbergDepartment of Psychiatry, Icahn School of Medicine, Mount Sinai, New York, USA.
Weiyao YinDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Stephen Z LevineSchool of Public Health, University of Haifa, Haifa, Israel.
Sven SandinDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

Funding

Population-Based Autism Genetics & Environment StudyR01MH097849 · NIMH · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI BUXBAUM, JOSEPH D. · 2014 to 2022
$5.2M
Rheumatoid Arthritis and Autism Spectrum DisorderR01AR075812 · NIAMS · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI SANDIN, SVEN · 2019 to 2022
$1.5M
NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR075812NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH097849
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrenatal maternal rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is postulated to increase the risk of offspring with Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD), yet findings of the association are inconsistent, potentially owing to small sample sizes and insufficient consideration of the timing of RA onset. This study aimed to examine the association between maternal RA, particularly its timing, and offspring ASD risk.

methodsTwo Israeli birth cohorts with national coverage and a meta-analysis were analyzed. Two harmonized birth cohorts of individuals born between 2003 and 2014 from Israeli Health Maintenance Organizations were followed up to 2021–05-01. Meta-analysis included all studies published up to 2023–06-07. Two exposures differentiated the timing of RA onset through maternal RA diagnosed before or after delivery. The association between maternal RA and the risk of offspring ASD was quantified by separate and pooled hazard ratios (HRs) from Cox proportional hazards regression with adjusted confounders. In the meta-analysis, the association was quantified using odds ratios (OR) fitted with random effects models with sensitivity analyses testing heterogeneity.

resultsTwo Israeli birth cohorts included Cohort I (Population = 251,903; ASD = 1,939 [0.77%]) and Cohort II (Population = 309,696; ASD = 3,008 [0.97%]), contributing a total of 5.9 million person-years. Meta-analysis included 13 eligible studies (9 eligible estimates, population = 4,015,055, ASD = 45,124). Maternal RA before delivery increased the risk of offspring ASD (Cohort I HR = 1.55, 95% CI = 0.98–2.46; Cohort II HR = 1.83, 95% CI = 1.30–2.58; Combined I + II HR = 1.77, 95% CI = 1.45–2.17. Meta-analysis: OR = 1.57, 95% CI = 1.31–1.87). LIMITATIONS: Very few cases of seronegative RA compared to seropositive cases; RA subtype analysis was not feasible. It is important to acknowledge that the inclusion of the exposure “RA after delivery” also encompasses future RA information after the diagnosis of ASD, which may introduce biases. The association between RA drugs and offspring ASD risk has not been established due to a lack of data.

conclusionsDrawing on the strengths of two parallel birth cohorts from Israel and supported by meta-analysis, the current study indicates a modest but robust increase in the risk of ASD among offspring of mothers diagnosed with RA before delivery, but not when diagnosed only after delivery. This temporal specificity argues against shared genetic etiology and points toward maternal inflammatory status during pregnancy as a causal factor in offspring ASD risk.

Indexed as

Arthritis, RheumatoidAutism Spectrum DisorderPrenatal Exposure Delayed EffectsAdultBirth CohortChildFemaleHumansIsraelMalePregnancyRisk FactorsAutism spectrum disorderAutoimmuneCohortJoint painPrenatal riskRheumatoid arthritis

Identifiers

PMID41345879
PMCPMC12679756

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.