Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41345667›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of health geographics2025

Spatial and temporal disparities in general practitioner provision: a 21-year longitudinal analysis from Lower Saxony, Germany.

Jonas Schoo, Frank Schüssler

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of health geographics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Jonas SchooDepartment of Civil Engineering Geoinformation Health Technology, Jade University of Applied Sciences, Oldenburg, Germany. jonas.schoo@jade-hs.de.
Frank SchüsslerDepartment of Civil Engineering Geoinformation Health Technology, Jade University of Applied Sciences, Oldenburg, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEquitable access to general practitioner services remains a persistent challenge for health systems and is critical for reducing health inequalities, particularly between urban and rural regions. Understanding the spatial and temporal dynamics of primary care provision is vital for informed healthcare planning and policy.

methodsSpatial and temporal disparities in the supply of general practitioners across Lower Saxony, Germany, were assessed over a 21-year period (2000-2021). Data from the Association of Statutory Health Insurance Physicians and municipal population statistics were used to develop the General Practitioner Regional Index - a composite measure incorporating both the availability and accessibility of general practitioners. Non-parametric statistical tests were applied to identify significant trends at the municipal level.

resultsPronounced geographic inequities in general practitioner supply were identified. More than 40% of the population resides in areas with declining supply, while only 5% experience improvements. Urban centres and their peripheries consistently exhibited higher and mostly stable levels of general practitioner supply. In contrast, rural small towns and villages demonstrated both lower baseline accessibility and more frequent negative trends. The primary driver of supply losses in affected areas was physician retirement, while relocation played a secondary role and typically occurred within similar regional types, thereby limiting redistribution effects.

conclusionsThe results underscore the persistence of urban-rural disparities in general practitioner availability and highlight physician retirements as the principal factor behind declining supply, with limited offsetting effects from physician migration. The findings indicate a need for spatially sensitive, succession-focused workforce strategies and innovative primary care models to mitigate rural undersupply and promote health equity.

trial registrationNot applicable. This study does not report the results of a health care intervention on human participants.

Indexed as

General PractitionersHealthcare DisparitiesHealth Services AccessibilityFemaleGermanyHumansLongitudinal StudiesRural PopulationSpatio-Temporal AnalysisGeneral practitioner careGermanyHealthcare planningLongitudinal trend analysisLower SaxonyRural healthSpatial inequalityUrban–rural divide

Identifiers

PMID41345667
PMCPMC12676781

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.