Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41343272›Full record

ArticleEuropace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology2025

How much does elective cardioversion increase the risk of ischaemic stroke compared to the baseline risk in atrial fibrillation? A nationwide study.

Saga Itäinen-Strömberg, Mika Lehto, Olli Halminen, Jari Haukka, Jukka Putaala, Ossi Lehtonen, Pirjo Mustonen, Miika Linna, Juha Hartikainen, Kari Eino Juhani Airaksinen and 2 more

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Saga Itäinen-StrömbergHeart and Lung Center, Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, PL 340, 00029 HUS, Meilahden Tornisairaala, Haartmaninkatu 4, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-0146-0765
Mika LehtoJorvi Hospital, Department of Internal Medicine, Helsinki University Hospital, Espoo, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-8691-5142
Olli HalminenDepartment of Industrial Engineering and Management, Aalto University, Espoo, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-9266-8435
Jari HaukkaFaculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Clinicum, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-1450-6208
Jukka PutaalaDepartment of Neurology, Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-6630-6104
Ossi LehtonenSchool of Medicine, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio, Finland.ORCID 0009-0009-4914-1027
Pirjo MustonenHeart Center, Turku University Hospital and University of Turku, Turku, Finland.ORCID 0009-0004-1472-0946
Miika LinnaSchool of Medicine, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-7660-2484
Juha HartikainenSchool of Medicine, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio, Finland.ORCID 0000-0003-0847-107X
Kari Eino Juhani AiraksinenHeart Center, Turku University Hospital and University of Turku, Turku, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-0193-568X
Konsta TeppoHeart Center, Turku University Hospital and University of Turku, Turku, Finland.ORCID 0000-0002-4460-0994
Aapo L AroHeart and Lung Center, Helsinki University Hospital and University of Helsinki, Helsinki, PL 340, 00029 HUS, Meilahden Tornisairaala, Haartmaninkatu 4, Helsinki, Finland.ORCID 0000-0001-7030-6740

Funding

Aarne Koskelo FoundationFinACAFFinnish Foundation for Cardiovascular ResearchSigrid Juselius FoundationUusimaa Hospital District research TYH2019309Uusimaa Hospital District research TYH2023319
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsPatients with atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing cardioversion (CV) are exposed to increased risk of ischaemic stroke (IS), but the exact magnitude is unknown. We compared IS rates during the post-CV period with the long-term risk in AF patients using guideline-recommended anticoagulation therapy. METHODS AND

resultsThis nationwide register-based study included all AF patients undergoing first-ever elective CV between 2012 and 2018 in Finland. Breakpoint analysis identified a cut-off point in the IS rate at 2 weeks after CV. Follow-up was split into two intervals: the immediate 2-week post-CV period and the subsequent period up to 360 days. Stroke rates were calculated, and incidence rate ratios were estimated with Poisson regression. Interactions between the two follow-up periods and conventional IS risk factors as well as anticoagulation treatment were assessed. A total of 9625 patients were identified (mean age 67.7 ± 9.9 years, 61.2% men, mean CHA2DS2-VA score 2.2 ± 1.4). Warfarin was used in 6245 (64.9%) and non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants in 3380 (35.1%) patients. Overall, 92 (1.0%) patients experienced IS during the year after CV. Breakpoint analysis and survival plot displayed a higher incidence of IS within the first 2 weeks after CV, stabilizing thereafter to a consistent level. The adjusted IS rate during the first 2 weeks was 7.5-fold (95% confidence interval: 4.8-11.8) compared to the subsequent IS rate. This excess risk was independent of the anticoagulation type or conventional stroke risk factors.

conclusionThe rate of IS was roughly seven times higher during the first 2 weeks after elective CV compared to the subsequent 360 days.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationElectric CountershockIschemic StrokeAgedAnticoagulantsFemaleFinlandHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedRegistriesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsTime FactorsAnticoagulantsAtrial fibrillationElective cardioversionIschaemic stroke

Identifiers

PMID41343272
PMCPMC12677906

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.