Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41341852›Full record

ArticleiScience2025

Campus-based genomic surveillance uncovers early emergence of a future dominant A(H3N2) influenza clade.

Matthew Scotch, Temitope O C Faleye, Jillian M Wright, Sarah Finnerty, Rolf U Halden, Arvind Varsani

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in iScience, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Matthew ScotchBiodesign Center for Environmental Health Engineering, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA.
Temitope O C FaleyeBiodesign Center for Environmental Health Engineering, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA.
Jillian M WrightBiodesign Center for Environmental Health Engineering, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA.
Sarah FinnertyHealth Services, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA.
Rolf U HaldenBiodesign Center for Environmental Health Engineering, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, USA.
Arvind VarsaniBiodesign Center for Fundamental and Applied Microbiomics, Center for Evolution and Medicine and School of Life Sciences, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287, USA.

Funding

Bioinformatics Framework for Wastewater-based Surveillance of Infectious DiseasesU01LM013129 · NLM · ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY-TEMPE CAMPUS · PI HALDEN, ROLF U, SCOTCH, MATTHEW · 2020 to 2022
$3.3M
NLM NIH HHS U01 LM013129
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We conducted genomic surveillance during the 2022-2023 northern hemisphere influenza season at a university in the southwestern US to assess how local diversity and evolution compared to national trends. We identified 100 positive samples (19%) from clinical swabs collected at a student health clinic and observed a dominance of subtype A(H3N2) which was consistent nationally for that season. However, we found stark differences when examining H3 clades, including an early dominance of 3C.2a1b.2a.2a.3a.1 variants contrasting from country level data in which 3C.2a1b.2a.2b variants were most abundant. We found known H3 amino acid substitutions in epitope sites and estimated vaccine effectiveness to be 0.13-0.48 which aligns with national estimates for that season. Importantly, 3C.2a1b.2a.2a.3a.1 became the dominant H3 clade nationally in 2023-2024 and 2024-2025, highlighting the potential for localized genomic surveillance in semi-closed, highly dense university settings and its potential for early insight of seasonal influenza diversity.

Indexed as

ImmunologyVirology

Identifiers

PMID41341852
PMCPMC12670629

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.