Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41339835›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2025

Nonlinear and potential driving impacts of meteorological and air pollution factors on influenza-like illness in Jinan, China.

Hui Zuo, Qi Gao, Michael Tong, Shujuan Huang, Chuanlong Cheng, Shufen Li, Kemeng Liang, Caiyun Chang, Xiujun Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Hui ZuoDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, 44# Wenhuaxi Road, Lixia District, Jinan, Shandong, 250000, China.
Qi GaoDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, 44# Wenhuaxi Road, Lixia District, Jinan, Shandong, 250000, China.
Michael TongNational Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT 2601, Australia.
Shujuan HuangJinan Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, Shandong, 250000, China.
Chuanlong ChengDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, 44# Wenhuaxi Road, Lixia District, Jinan, Shandong, 250000, China.
Shufen LiDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, 44# Wenhuaxi Road, Lixia District, Jinan, Shandong, 250000, China.
Kemeng LiangDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, 44# Wenhuaxi Road, Lixia District, Jinan, Shandong, 250000, China.
Caiyun Chang *Jinan Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, Shandong, 250000, China.
Xiujun Li *Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, 44# Wenhuaxi Road, Lixia District, Jinan, Shandong, 250000, China. xjli@sdu.edu.cn.

Funding

National Key Research and Development Program of China 2023YFC2604401
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhile many studies have explored the correlation between environmental factors and influenza, research on their potential causal associations remains limited. Further, the impact of temperature changes between neighboring days (TCN) has not been thoroughly investigated.

methodsInfluenza-like illness (ILI) data, meteorological indicators, and air pollutant levels were collected in Jinan, China (2015-2019). Gradient boosting decision trees (GBDT) were used to identify key environmental variables. The distributed lag nonlinear models (DLNM) and empirical dynamic modeling (EDM) framework were then applied to explore their nonlinear associations with and potential causal effects on influenza infection. Subgroup analysis was also performed by different age groups.

resultsGBDT identified absolute humidity (AH), atmospheric pressure (AP), sulfur dioxide (SO

conclusionThis study demonstrated that both the DLNM and EDM methods consistently revealed the complex and nonlinear effects of specific environmental factors on influenza infection. Specifically, TCN > 5 ℃, AP > 1100 hPa, and SO

Indexed as

Air PollutionInfluenza, HumanMeteorological ConceptsAdolescentAdultAgedAir PollutantsChildChild, PreschoolChinaFemaleHumansInfantMaleMiddle AgedNonlinear DynamicsAir PollutantsOzoneSulfur DioxideAir PollutionConvergent Cross MappingDistributed Lag Nonlinear ModelsInfluenzaMeteorological FactorsTemperature Variability

Identifiers

PMID41339835
PMCPMC12781324

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.