Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41335239›Full record

ReviewJournal of mathematical biology2025

Advances in surrogate modeling for biological agent-based simulations: trends, challenges, and future prospects.

Kerri-Ann Norton, Daniel Bergman, Harsh Vardhan Jain, Trachette Jackson

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Journal of mathematical biology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. From genes to germ layers: virtual twins of gastruloids.NPJ systems biology and applications · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. AnACS omega · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Kerri-Ann Norton *Computational Sciences Program, Bard College, 30 Campus Road, Annandale-on-Hudson, NY, 12504, USA. knorton@bard.edu.
Daniel Bergman *Institute for Genome Sciences, University of Maryland School of Medicine, 655 W. Baltimore Street, Baltimore, MD, 21201, USA.
Harsh Vardhan Jain *Department of Mathematics & Statistics, University of Minnesota Duluth, 1117 University Dr, Duluth, MN, 55812, USA.
Trachette Jackson *Department of Mathematics, University of Michigan, 530 Church Street, Ann Arbor, MI, 48109, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2803-3341

Funding

Multiscale Computational Models Guided By Emerging Cellular Dynamics Quantification For Predicting Optimum Immune Checkpoint And Targeted Therapy SchedulesU01CA243075 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI JACKSON, TRACHETTE · 2020 to 2024
$2.6M
NCI NIH HHS U01 CA243075NSF 2324818
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Agent-based modeling (ABM) is a powerful computational approach for studying complex biological and biomedical systems, yet its widespread use remains limited by significant computational demands. As models become increasingly sophisticated, the number of parameters and interactions rises rapidly, exacerbating the so-called "curse of dimensionality" and making comprehensive parameter exploration and uncertainty analyses computationally prohibitive. A growing body of work points to surrogate modeling as a powerful approach for approximating the dynamics of agent-based models, providing computationally efficient pathways for tasks such as parameter estimation, sensitivity analysis, and uncertainty quantification. In this review, we examine traditional approaches for performing these tasks directly within ABMs-providing a baseline for comparison-and then synthesize recent developments in surrogate-assisted methodologies for biological and biomedical applications. We cover statistical, mechanistic, and machine-learning-based approaches, emphasizing emerging hybrid strategies that integrate mechanistic insights with machine learning to balance interpretability and scalability. Finally, we discuss current challenges and outline directions for future research, including the development of standardized benchmarks to enhance methodological rigor and facilitate the broad adoption of surrogate-assisted ABMs in biology and medicine.

Indexed as

Models, BiologicalAnimalsComputational BiologyComputer SimulationHumansMachine LearningMathematical ConceptsSystems BiologyUncertaintyAgent-based modelsParameter estimationSensitivity analysisSurrogate modelsUncertainty quantification

Identifiers

PMID41335239
PMCPMC12675620

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.