Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41332243›Full record

ArticleTransplantation2026

The Impact of Recipient HIV Status on Kidney Transplant Outcomes in the United Kingdom: Have Previous Studies Overestimated Risk?

Marena L Gray, Samuel J Tingle, Mohamed Elzawahry, Eliot Hurn, Balaji Mahendran, Frank A Post, Rachel Hilton

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Transplantation, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Donor-derived viral infections: the usual suspects and the new kids on the block.Transplant international : official journal of the European Society for Organ Transplantation · 2026
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Marena L GrayDepartment of Surgery, West Suffolk Foundation Trust, Bury St Edmunds, United Kingdom.
Samuel J TingleTranslational and Clinical Research Institute, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom.
Mohamed ElzawahryNuffield Department of Surgical Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Eliot HurnDepartment of Sexual Health, Lewisham and Greenwich NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.
Balaji MahendranDepartment of Surgery, Royal Cornwall Hospitals NHS Trust, Truro, United Kingdom.
Frank A PostDepartment of Sexual Health and HIV, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Weston Education Centre (2.53), London, United Kingdom.
Rachel HiltonDirectorate of Transplant, Renal and Urology, Guy's Hospital, Guy's and St. Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDespite increasing literature on kidney transplantation in people with HIV, studies have largely overlooked the confounding impact of ethnicity and socioeconomic deprivation. This study aimed to assess posttransplant outcomes in HIV-positive recipients, adjusting for these key factors.

methodsPopulation-cohort study of single kidney-alone transplants (2005-2022) using the UK Transplant Registry. The primary outcome was graft survival. Multivariable regression models evaluated the impact of recipient HIV status on transplant outcomes.

resultsWe included 30 013 recipients: 20 517 deceased-donor (200 HIV-positive recipients) and 9496 live-donor (44 HIV-positive recipients). Multivariable models revealed no significant differences in 5-y graft survival for HIV-positive versus negative recipients, in either deceased (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.93, 95% confidence interval 0.61-1.41, P  = 0.721) or live donor cohorts (adjusted hazard ratio = 1.02 [0.31-3.33]; P  = 0.973). Recipient HIV status was also not associated with patient survival or delayed graft function in either cohort. HIV-positive recipients were more likely to experience acute rejection within 12 mo (deceased adjusted odds ratio = 1.53 [0.94-2.50]; P  = 0.091 and live adjusted odds ratio = 3.43 [1.44-8.19]; P  = 0.006) and had marginally lower adjusted 12-mo estimated glomerular filtration rate. Crude 12-mo acute rejection rates for HIV-positive versus negative recipients were 24.8% versus 14.2% (deceased) and 37.5% versus 15.3% (live). For all posttransplant outcomes, removing adjustment for ethnicity and deprivation led to greater adjusted risk estimates for HIV-positive recipients.

conclusionsHIV-positive recipients achieve excellent graft and patient survival, which are no different from HIV-negative recipients on adjusted analyses. Previous studies without ethnicity or socioeconomic-deprivation adjustment have likely overestimated the risks of recipient HIV-positive transplants. HIV-positive recipients with an indication for kidney transplantation should have equitable access to assessment, listing and offers for kidney transplantation.

Indexed as

Graft RejectionHIV InfectionsKidney Failure, ChronicKidney TransplantationAdultFemaleGraft SurvivalHumansMaleMiddle AgedRegistriesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsTime FactorsTreatment OutcomeUnited Kingdom

Identifiers

PMID41332243
PMCPMC12908647

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.