Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41328160›Full record

ArticlePatterns (New York, N.Y.)2025

Uncovering drivers of climate research in policy with pretrained language models.

Basil Mahfouz, Licia Capra, Geoff Mulgan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Patterns (New York, N.Y.), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Structure of scientific knowledge flows to intergovernmental organizations.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Basil MahfouzUCL Department of Science, Technology, Engineering and Public Policy, London, UK.
Licia CapraUCL Computer Science, London, UK.
Geoff MulganUCL Department of Science, Technology, Engineering and Public Policy, London, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Evidence-based policymaking is crucial for addressing societal challenges, yet factors driving research uptake in policy remain unclear. Previous studies have not accounted for the confounding effect of policy relevance, potentially skewing conclusions about impact drivers. Using climate change as a case study, we employ pretrained language models to identify semantically similar research paper pairs where one is cited in policy and the other is not, controlling for inherent policy relevance. This approach allows us to isolate the effects of various factors on policy citation likelihood. We find that in climate change, academic citations are the strongest predictor of policy impact, followed by media mentions. This computational method can be extended to other variables as well as different scientific domains to enable comparative analysis of policy uptake mechanisms across fields.

Indexed as

bibliometric indicatorscitation patternsclimate policyevidence-based policyknowledge transfermachine learningnatural language processingnear-miss analysisresearch evaluationscience-policy interface

Identifiers

PMID41328160
PMCPMC12664962

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.