ArticleBMC pulmonary medicine2025
Consolidation-to-ground-glass opacity ratio on chest CT as a prognostic marker for critical outcomes in COVID-19: a retrospective cohort study.
Article in BMC pulmonary medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
backgroundComputed tomography (CT)-based quantification of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia is widely performed, and total pneumonia volume, ground-glass opacity (GGO), and consolidation affect disease severity. However, there is insufficient information on how consolidation to GGO (C/G) ratio correlates with clinical characteristics including disease severity and complications in COVID-19 patients.
methodsThis retrospective cohort study included 1,194 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 from four member hospitals of the Japan COVID-19 Task Force. Critical outcomes were defined as conditions requiring high-flow oxygen or invasive mechanical ventilation, or death. Patients were divided into two groups based on %pneumonia (percentage of pneumonia volume divided by total lung volume) using receiver operating characteristic curve, and those with high %pneumonia were further divided into two groups based on C/G ratio. Critical outcomes and complications were then compared between high and low C/G ratio groups.
resultsThe optimal cutoff value of %pneumonia to predict critical outcomes was 17.1%, classifying the included patients into low (Group 1, n = 900) and high (n = 294) %pneumonia groups. The optimal cutoff value of C/G ratio was 0.202, classifying patients in the high %pneumonia group into two groups: low (Group 2, n = 192) and high C/G (Group 3, n = 102) ratio groups. The incidence of critical outcomes was stair-step high in all three groups (2.1%, 21.4%, and 37.3%, respectively). Multivariable analysis revealed an independent relationship between C/G ratio and critical outcomes from other known risk factors (adjusted odds ratio: 1.92, 95% confidential interval: 1.03-3.59, P = 0.040). Group 3 also showed significantly higher serum C-reactive protein (Group 1: 2.96 mg/dL, Group 2: 8.90 mg/dL, Group 3: 11.4 mg/dL) and procalcitonin (Group 1: 0.16 ng/mL, Group 2: 0.25 ng/mL, Group 3: 1.19 ng/mL) levels and incidence of bacterial infection (Group 1: 5.6%, Group 2: 10.4%, Group 3: 20.3%), compared with other groups.
conclusionsCT-density analysis of COVID-19 pneumonia in a large patient population showed that C/G ratio was a significant predictor of critical outcomes and useful for prognosis evaluation.
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