ArticleJournal of epidemiology and global health2025
False-Positive Screening, Over-Referral, and Length of time between Cervical Cancer Early Detection and Confirmed Diagnosis Over Nine Years in Lusaka, Zambia.
Article in Journal of epidemiology and global health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
purposeWhile Zambia has an efficient program for early detection of cervical cancer, most cases are diagnosed at advanced stages. This study examined the time between suspecting cancers at screening clinics and histopathologic confirmation of cervical cancer in the Lusaka Province of Zambia.
methodsThis study included the records of 3,483 women with suspected cancerous lesions identified by visual inspection of the cervix (VIA) who were referred from Lusaka Province screening facilities from 2014 to 2022. The study linked screening records with corresponding histopathologic results of the lesions after examination at the University Teaching Hospital. Variables abstracted from the medical records included age, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status, district of residence and referral clinic, and dates of referral and confirmed diagnosis.
resultsFalse-positive VIA results constituted about 90% of all referrals. Women living with HIV (WLWH) had longer wait times between screening referrals and receipt of histopathologic results, most notably women coming from rural settings (median of 146 days) compared to urban settings (median of 69 days) (p < 0.05). Among women diagnosed with low-grade intraepithelial lesions, WLWH had a 63% higher risk of confirmed cancer diagnosis (CI: 1.16, 2.29) than women not living with HIV. For high-grade intraepithelial lesions, the adjusted HR showed WLWH having a 17% (CI: 0.89, 1.53) higher risk of confirmed cancer diagnosis compared to women not living with HIV.
conclusionThe high rate of false-positives and long wait times call for expanded service infrastructure, particularly in rural settings, and continuing provider education/training to optimize screening sensitivity and shorten wait times in the Lusaka Province. Such measures may reduce the overload on the existing histopathology infrastructure and may provide lessons for other limited-resource countries facing similar cancer control and prevention challenges.
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