Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41325564›Full record

ArticleBiomedica : revista del Instituto Nacional de Salud2025

Outbreaks and incidence of vector-borne diseases in Colombia (2007-2024): Impact of climate change and deforestation

Mario J Olivera, Julián Felipe Porras-Villamil, Màrius Vicent Fuentes

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biomedica : revista del Instituto Nacional de Salud, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Territorial Persistence of ResidualTropical medicine and infectious disease · 2026
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Mario J OliveraGrupo de Parasitología, Dirección de Investigación en Salud Pública, Instituto Nacional de Salud, Bogotá, D. C., Colombia; Grupo de Investigación Parásitos y Salud, Facultat de Farmàcia i Ciències de l'Alimentació, Universitat de València, València, España.ORCID 0000-0002-6885-6353
Julián Felipe Porras-VillamilFacultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad de la Salle, Bogotá, D. C., Colombia.ORCID 0000-0003-1861-4601
Màrius Vicent FuentesGrupo de Investigación Parásitos y Salud, Facultat de Farmàcia i Ciències de l'Alimentació, Universitat de València, València, España.ORCID 0000-0002-9508-6390

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionVector-borne diseases pose a public health challenge in Colombia, influenced by climatic and environmental factors. El Niño and deforestation can alter vector habitats, affecting the incidence of dengue, Zika, chikungunya, malaria, cutaneous leishmaniasis, and yellow fever.

objectiveThis study analyzes the relationship between these variables and vector-borne diseases incidence in Colombia (2007-2024). MATERIALS AND

methodsAn ecological study was conducted using incidence and outbreak data for six vector-borne diseases, linked to climate information, El Niño, and deforestation. Regression models and random forests were applied to assess associations.

resultsBetween 2007 and 2024, 3,283,259 cases of vector-borne diseases were reported in Colombia. Of these, 49.9% (1,639,120) were dengue and 39.8% (1,307,351) malaria, accounting for 89.7% of total cases. El Niño was associated with increased incidence of dengue (β = 213.24; 95% CI: 86.05-338.43), chikungunya (β = 26.41; 95% CI: 17.54-70.36), and Zika (β = 14.12; 95% CI: 10.06-89.30). Maximum temperature showed a positive relationship with dengue (β = 5.74; 95% CI: 2.15-13.63) and malaria (β = 17.28; 95% CI: 3.81-30.75). Deforestation was associated with malaria (β = 12.35; 95% CI: 4.62-20.08) and cutaneous leishmaniasis (β = 8.67; 95% CI: 2.21-15.13). Mean precipitation had negative associations with chikungunya and leishmaniasis.

conclusionsClimate change and deforestation impact the epidemiology of vector-borne diseases in Colombia. Integrated public health and environmental conservation strategies are needed to mitigate their effects.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeConservation of Natural ResourcesDisease OutbreaksVector Borne DiseasesAnimalsChikungunya FeverColombiaDengueEl Nino-Southern OscillationHumansIncidenceLeishmaniasis, CutaneousMalariaZika Virus Infectionclimate changeColombiaconservation of natural resourcesepidemiologic studiesvector borne diseases

Identifiers

PMID41325564
PMCPMC12752917

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.