Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41320771›Full record

ArticleBMC global and public health2025

Tracing leprosy trends in Pakistan: a two-decade analysis of geographic and demographic shifts (2001-2023).

Anil Fastenau, Nena Sophie Van Heesewijk, Matthew Willis, Paul Saunderson, Fabian Schlumberger, Ali Murtaza, Muhammed Iqbal, Abdul Salam, Sophie Cw Unterkircher, Elias Treml and 2 more

Abstract read
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Article in BMC global and public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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1citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Anil FastenauMarie Adelaide Leprosy Center (MALC), Karachi, Pakistan. fastenau@uni-bremen.de.
Nena Sophie Van HeesewijkMarie Adelaide Leprosy Center (MALC), Karachi, Pakistan.
Matthew WillisMarie Adelaide Leprosy Center (MALC), Karachi, Pakistan.
Paul SaundersonHope Rises International, Greenville, SC, USA.
Fabian SchlumbergerMarie Adelaide Leprosy Center (MALC), Karachi, Pakistan.
Ali MurtazaMarie Adelaide Leprosy Center (MALC), Karachi, Pakistan.
Muhammed IqbalMarie Adelaide Leprosy Center (MALC), Karachi, Pakistan.
Abdul SalamMarie Adelaide Leprosy Center (MALC), Karachi, Pakistan.
Sophie Cw UnterkircherMarie Adelaide Leprosy Center (MALC), Karachi, Pakistan.
Elias TremlMarie Adelaide Leprosy Center (MALC), Karachi, Pakistan.
Nimer Ortuño-GutiérrezDamien Foundation, Brussels, Belgium.
Thomas HambridgeErasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLeprosy, or Hansen's disease, is caused by Mycobacterium leprae and can lead to severe disabilities, social marginalisation and reduced quality of life. The disease remains a public health challenge in many low- and middle-income countries, including Pakistan. This study aimed to examine trends in leprosy cases diagnosed in Pakistan from 2001 to 2023, focusing on key epidemiological indicators such as sex, leprosy subtype, age, child cases, disability proportion and geographic distribution to reveal insights into the current situation and to inform strategies for improving case detection.

methodsThis retrospective study analysed data from the Marie Adelaide Leprosy Centre (MALC), which operates 205 treatment centres across Pakistan. Leprosy cases diagnosed between 2001 and 2023 were examined for sociodemographic and clinical characteristics, including sex, age, and leprosy subtype. Descriptive statistics were presented for leprosy cases diagnosed during this period, and maps were created to illustrate geographic trends and distributions in leprosy incidence over four 5-year intervals between 2003 and 2022.

resultsA total of 10,573 new leprosy cases were recorded with a median age of 36 years. Most cases (79.3%) were multibacillary (MB) leprosy. Until 2013, the majority of patients were male, but the proportion of female cases has steadily increased since then, rising from 40.4% in 2021 to 50.0% in 2023. The highest incidence was observed in Karachi, Sindh, and northern regions, including Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Gilgit-Baltistan. The overall incidence of new cases declined steadily from 971 in 2001 to 236 in 2023. A decline in child cases and grade 2 disability proportions was also observed. Over the study period, 852 cases (8.1%) occurred in children under 15 years of age, while in 2023 specifically, 7.6% of new cases were in children and 17.4% presented with grade 2 disability, both key indicators for monitoring leprosy epidemiology. However, a substantial increase in the MB proportion was observed in 2023.

conclusionsThese findings indicate significant progress in leprosy control in Pakistan, but also highlight persistent transmission in specific regions. Targeted interventions in high-burden areas, along with sustained community-based case-finding and early diagnosis efforts, are essential for continued progress toward leprosy elimination in Pakistan.

Indexed as

EpidemiologyLeprosyPakistanTrend analysis

Identifiers

PMID41320771
PMCPMC12667176

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