Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41320645›Full record

ArticleRespirology (Carlton, Vic.)2026

Can Patient Education Lead the Way? Head-To-Head Comparison of EXACT and CERT for Early Recognition of Acute COPD Exacerbations.

Rainer Gloeckl, Paul W Jones, Daniela Kroll, Inga Jarosch, Tessa Schneeberger, Jing Claussen, Paul Schmidt, Claus F Vogelmeier, Klaus Kenn, Andreas Rembert Koczulla

Registry-linked trialAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Respirology (Carlton, Vic.), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT04140097 (Predictors of Acute Exacerbation in Patients With COPD - an Observational Study), which is not on this map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT04140097 active not recruitingnot on this map

Predictors of Acute Exacerbation in Patients With COPD - an Observational Study (PACE Trial)

TypeobservationalSponsorSchön Klinik Berchtesgadener LandRan2020 to 2026Enrolled355ConditionsChronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease, COPD, COPD Exacerbation, COPD Exacerbation AcuteArmsProspective monitoring of a large variety of parameters
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Rainer GloecklInstitute for Pulmonary Rehabilitation Research, Schön Klinik Berchtesgadener Land, Schoenau am Koenigssee, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-2741-2748
Paul W JonesSt. George's University of London, London, UK.
Daniela KrollInstitute for Pulmonary Rehabilitation Research, Schön Klinik Berchtesgadener Land, Schoenau am Koenigssee, Germany.
Inga JaroschInstitute for Pulmonary Rehabilitation Research, Schön Klinik Berchtesgadener Land, Schoenau am Koenigssee, Germany.
Tessa SchneebergerInstitute for Pulmonary Rehabilitation Research, Schön Klinik Berchtesgadener Land, Schoenau am Koenigssee, Germany.
Jing ClaussenMedical Affairs, GlaxoSmithKline, Munich, Germany.
Paul SchmidtStatistical Consulting for Science and Research, Berlin, Germany.
Claus F VogelmeierPhilipps-University Marburg, German Center for Lung Research (DZL) Universities of Giessen and Marburg Lung Center (UGMLC), Marburg, Germany.
Klaus KennPhilipps-University Marburg, German Center for Lung Research (DZL) Universities of Giessen and Marburg Lung Center (UGMLC), Marburg, Germany.
Andreas Rembert KoczullaInstitute for Pulmonary Rehabilitation Research, Schön Klinik Berchtesgadener Land, Schoenau am Koenigssee, Germany.

Funding

GlaxoSmithKline 212667
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectiveAcute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD) worsen outcomes, yet they are often underreported. The 14-item EXACT diary has been validated for trial use-the five-item CERT checklist is patient-centered. We compared the two tools' accuracy and early-warning performance for AECOPD.

methodsThis prospective study examined 63 COPD patients who completed EXACT and CERT daily. Two metrics were used for CERT: total score and binary (positive if ≥ 2 items were rated as moderate/severe). AECOPD patients were bootstrap matched to a non-exacerbator. Linear mixed-effects models assessed score differences on the day of AECOPD diagnosis and the previous days.

resultsTwelve patients developed clinically confirmed AECOPD. On the day of AECOPD diagnosis, all tools discriminated AECOPD (AUC: EXACT 0.90, CERT total score 0.88, and CERT binary 0.87; p < 0.01). At optimal thresholds, sensitivities ranged from 81% to 87%, and specificities ranged from 93% to 95%. One day before the AECOPD diagnosis, the CERT total score (5.9 vs. 1.4; p = 0.006) and the CERT binary outcome (70.4% vs. 9.3%; p = 0.009) significantly distinguished impending exacerbations. However, the EXACT score did not (39.6% vs. 34.3%; p = 0.186). The CERT total score yielded an AUC of 0.86 (sensitivity 83%, specificity 86%), and the binary rating achieved a specificity of 91% and a sensitivity of 70% one day before diagnosis.

conclusionBoth EXACT and CERT can accurately detect AECOPD at the time of diagnosis. However, patients were able to recognise worsening symptoms one day before an AECOPD diagnosis when using the CERT.

trial registrationclinicaltrials.gov (NCT04140097).

Indexed as

ChecklistPatient Education as TopicPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveAcute DiseaseAgedDisease ProgressionEarly DiagnosisFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesSeverity of Illness IndexAECOPDchronic obstructive pulmonary diseaseCOPD exacerbation recognition tooldiaryexacerbation of chronic pulmonary disease toolself‐monitoring

Identifiers

PMID41320645
PMCPMC12963703

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.