Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41318578›Full record

Articlenpj aging2025

Frailty and transitions across cardiometabolic disease states: evidence from multistate models in a 16-year Chinese cohort.

Rui Hang Zhang, Jiao Wang, Ying Wang, Rui Qiang Li, Ting Yu Lu, Bai Jing Zhou, Lin Yang, Lei Su, Wei Sen Zhang, Tai Hing Lam and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in npj aging, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Rui Hang ZhangSchool of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Jiao WangSchool of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Ying WangSchool of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Rui Qiang LiSchool of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Ting Yu LuSchool of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Bai Jing ZhouSchool of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Lin YangSchool of Nursing, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China.
Lei SuDepartment of Geriatrics, First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Wei Sen ZhangGreater Bay Area Public Health Research Collaboration, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Tai Hing LamGreater Bay Area Public Health Research Collaboration, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Kar Keung ChengInstitute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.
Lin XuSchool of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China. xulin27@mail.sysu.edu.cn.

Funding

Natural Science Foundation of China 82373661Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong 2022A1515011546The Guangzhou Public Health Bureau 201102A211004011The Health Medical Research Fund in Hong Kong HMRF/13143241The University of Hong Kong Foundation for Educational Development and Research SN/1f/HKUF-DC; C20400.28505200
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Frailty is a prevalent geriatric syndrome, but its role in cardiometabolic disease (CMD) progression remains unclear. We examined whether frailty predicted CMD transitions. We included 22,754 participants aged 50+ from the Guangzhou Biobank Cohort Study without baseline CMD. Frailty was assessed using a 35-item frailty index (FI). Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) was defined as ≥2 of type 2 diabetes, ischemic heart disease, and stroke. Cox and multistate models estimated associations of frailty with first CMD (FCMD), CMM, and mortality. During a mean follow-up of 16.4 years, 8710 developed FCMD, 2332 progressed to CMM, and 5411 died. After adjustment, multistate analyses showed that frailty accelerated transitions from health to FCMD, from FCMD to CMM, and from CMM to death (HR per 0.1 increment in FI ranging from 1.14 to 1.48). Frailty was independently associated with CMD progression and mortality. Multistate analyses highlight its dynamic role in multimorbidity, supporting routine frailty assessment in cardiometabolic prevention.

Identifiers

PMID41318578
PMCPMC12770471

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.