Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41316077›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2025

Unsupervised machine learning reveals prognostic value of dynamic carbohydrate antigen 125 trajectory in gastric cancer.

Yonghe Chen, Dan Liu, Kaiyu Sun, Yi Lin, Tao Luo, Xiaohan Jiang, Qian Sun, Junjie Liu, Junsheng Peng, Lei Lian

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Research progress of machine learning applications in gastric cancer diagnosis and therapy.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Yonghe Chen *Department of General Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, 26 Yuancun Erheng Road, Guangzhou, 510655, China. chenyhe@mail2.sysu.edu.cn.
Dan Liu *Department of Laboratory Science, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, 111 Dade Road, Guangzhou, 510120, China.
Kaiyu Sun *Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, No. 58, Zhongshan Road II, Guangzhou, 510080, China.
Yi LinDepartment of General Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, 26 Yuancun Erheng Road, Guangzhou, 510655, China.
Tao LuoDepartment of Gastrointestinal Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, No. 58, Zhongshan Road II, Guangzhou, 510080, China.
Xiaohan JiangSchool of Nursing, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China.
Qian SunSchool of Nursing, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, 510080, China.
Junjie LiuDepartment of General Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, 26 Yuancun Erheng Road, Guangzhou, 510655, China.
Junsheng PengDepartment of General Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, 26 Yuancun Erheng Road, Guangzhou, 510655, China.
Lei LianDepartment of General Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, 26 Yuancun Erheng Road, Guangzhou, 510655, China. Lianlei2@mail.sysu.edu.cn.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China 82203187National Natural Science Foundation of China 82203642
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCarbohydrate Antigen 125 (CA125), a tumor-associated glycoprotein, is an established prognostic marker in gastric cancer. However, the trajectory of CA125 levels incorporating dynamic changes over time have not been investigated.

methodsCA125 levels were collected during the first year of treatment to form individual trajectories and grouped using the unsupervised K-means algorithm. Cox proportional hazards model assessed the association between trajectory groups and overall survival (primary outcome).

resultsA total of 1,015 patients were included, covering stages I-IV. 7,347 CA125 tests were conducted, including 1,638 preoperatively and 5,709 postoperatively. The median CA125 trajectory exhibited a "rise-decline" pattern, with preoperative levels of 11.0 U/ml, followed by a temporary peak of 22.98 U/ml in the first quarter post-surgery, and subsequently declines to 12.21 U/ml in the second quarter and 10.90 U/ml at six months post-surgery. The unsupervised K-means machine learning identified 4 latent patterns of trajectories ranging at different levels. Trajectories in higher-level groups were significantly associated with worse survival outcomes: Low (n = 309, reference), Medium (n = 390, HR = 1.75, p = 0.006), High (n = 238, HR = 4.66, p < 0.001), and Ultra High (n = 78, HR = 17.9, p < 0.001). Subgroup analysis revealed that across all stages, the survival risks in the High and Ultra High trajectory groups were consistently higher compared to the Low group. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards model confirmed trajectory as an independent prognostic factor. In comparative Cox analysis, models with trajectory (c-index 0.74–0.81) showed superior efficacy than models with static values (c-index 0.59–0.66).

conclusionWe identified the distinct latent patterns of CA125 trajectory dynamics during the initial years of disease course. These patterns exhibited robust independent prognostic value.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorCA-125 AntigenStomach NeoplasmsUnsupervised Machine LearningAgedFemaleHumansMaleMembrane ProteinsMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingPrognosisProportional Hazards ModelsBiomarkers, TumorCA-125 AntigenMembrane ProteinsMUC16 protein, humanCarbohydrate antigen 125Gastric cancerSurvivalTrajectory analysisUnsupervised machine learning

Identifiers

PMID41316077
PMCPMC12664150

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.