Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41313677›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association2025

Cumulative and variable depression symptom exposure and incident dementia: Panel data analysis of four longitudinal cohort studies.

Zhiyong Hou, Yu Ming, Keqiang Lu, Yiming Ma, Ran Jia, Guichuan Lai, Yuqi Bai, Weijun Huang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Plasma GFAP modifies the association of depressive symptoms with cognitive function: A population-based study.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Zhiyong HouInstitute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, PR China.ORCID 0000-0002-6631-6601
Yu MingInstitute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, PR China.
Keqiang LuShuguang Clinical Medical College, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, PR China.
Yiming MaInstitute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, PR China.
Ran JiaInstitute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, PR China.
Guichuan LaiDepartment of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Yuqi BaiSchool of Environment, Education and Development, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Weijun HuangDepartment of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7256-812X

Funding

Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities YG2025QNA44Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities YG2025QNB51Hospital Level Scientific Research Fund Program of Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital hlyjkt202325Hospital Level Scientific Research Fund Program of Shanghai Sixth People's Hospital ynts202404National Natural Science Foundation of China 82371131National Natural Science Foundation of China 82501389Natural Science Foundation of Shanghai Fundamental Research Program 25ZR1402418Shanghai Oriental Talent Program Youth Project QNZH2024002
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionLate-life depression symptoms are implicated in dementia. We examined how cumulative burden, duration, trajectory, and variability of depression symptoms are associated with incident dementia.

methodsA prospective cohort analysis of 23,305 dementia-free adults from four population studies (English Longitudinal Study of Ageing [ELSA], Health and Retirement Study [HRS], Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe [SHARE], China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study [CHARLS]) with repeated Centre for Epidemiologic Studies of Depression scale (CES-D)/Euro-Depression scale (EURO-D) assessments across three waves and a pooled median follow-up of ≈10.8 years. Exposures included CumSD/cumulative average depression symptom score (CumADS), high-symptom exposure duration, visit-to-visit variability (Standard deviation [SD], coefficient of variation [CV], variation independent of the mean [VIM]), and time-course patterns. Associations were analyzed using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression.

resultsEach 1-unit increase in cumulative score was associated with a 3%-8% higher dementia hazard across cohorts. Highest versus lowest cumulative quartiles showed markedly elevated risk. Sustained high exposure for 4 years conferred ≈2.7-3.9× greater risk. Higher variability and worsening trajectories were also linked to higher incidence. Associations were robust across subgroups. DISCUSSION: Persistent and unstable depression symptoms independently predict higher dementia risk, supporting longitudinal mood monitoring and sustained management. HIGHLIGHTS: Multi-cohort study of 23,305 adults (ELSA, HRS, SHARE, CHARLS). Cumulative depression burden shows a dose-response with dementia risk. Highest versus lowest quartile: dementia hazard up to 18× (HRS). Sustained high symptoms (4 years) linked to ≈2.7-3.9× greater risk. Visit-to-visit variability independently associates with higher dementia risk.

Indexed as

DementiaDepressionAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesPsychiatric Status Rating ScalesRisk FactorsCHARLSdementiadepression symptomsELSAHRSlongitudinal cohortSHARE

Identifiers

PMID41313677
PMCPMC12662180

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.