Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41312077›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in big data2025

Application and comparison of ARIMA, LSTM, and ARIMA-LSTM models for predicting foodborne diseases in Liaoning Province.

Xiaoxiao Du, Haomiao Yu, Hao Zhang, Xiangyun Liu, Xinling Yu, Tao Xie, Wenli Diao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in big data, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Xiaoxiao DuLiaoning Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevent, Shenyang, Liaoning, China.
Haomiao YuLiaoning Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevent, Shenyang, Liaoning, China.
Hao ZhangLiaoning Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevent, Shenyang, Liaoning, China.
Xiangyun LiuLiaoning Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevent, Shenyang, Liaoning, China.
Xinling YuLiaoning Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevent, Shenyang, Liaoning, China.
Tao XieLiaoning Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevent, Shenyang, Liaoning, China.
Wenli DiaoLiaoning Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevent, Shenyang, Liaoning, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: To compare the application of the ARIMA model, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model and the ARIMA-LSTM model in forecasting foodborne disease incidence. Methods: Monthly case data of foodborne diseases in Liaoning Province from January 2015 to December 2023 were used to construct ARIMA, LSTM, and ARIMA-LSTM models. These three models were then applied to forecast the monthly incidence of foodborne diseases in 2024, and their predictions were compared with those of a baseline model. Model performance was evaluated by comparing the predicted and observed values using root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), allowing identification of the optimal model. The best-performing model was subsequently employed to predict the monthly incidence for 2025. Results: The ARIMA-LSTM model was identified as the optimal model. Specifically, the ARIMA (2,0,0) (0,1,1)1 Conclusion: The ARIMA-LSTM model is considered the optimal model for predicting foodborne disease incidence in Liaoning Province in 2025.

Indexed as

ARIMA-LSTM modelARIMA modelfoodborneLSTM modelpredicting

Identifiers

PMID41312077
PMCPMC12646886

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.