Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41311708›Full record

ArticleNational science review2025

Extreme dry-hot in North America and Europe: the amplified role of warming-enhanced land-air coupling.

Liang Qiao, Zhiyan Zuo, Renhe Zhang, Wei Mei, Deliang Chen, Meiyu Chang, Kaiwen Zhang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in National science review, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Liang QiaoKey Laboratory for Semi-Arid Climate Change of the Ministry of Education, College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, China.
Zhiyan ZuoKey Laboratory of Polar Atmosphere-ocean-ice System for Weather and Climate of Ministry of Education/Shanghai Key Laboratory of Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Boundary Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences/Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China.
Renhe ZhangKey Laboratory of Polar Atmosphere-ocean-ice System for Weather and Climate of Ministry of Education/Shanghai Key Laboratory of Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Boundary Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences/Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China.
Wei MeiKey Laboratory of Polar Atmosphere-ocean-ice System for Weather and Climate of Ministry of Education/Shanghai Key Laboratory of Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Boundary Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences/Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China.
Deliang ChenDepartment of Earth System Sciences, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0288-5618
Meiyu ChangKey Laboratory of Polar Atmosphere-ocean-ice System for Weather and Climate of Ministry of Education/Shanghai Key Laboratory of Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Boundary Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences/Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China.
Kaiwen ZhangKey Laboratory of Polar Atmosphere-ocean-ice System for Weather and Climate of Ministry of Education/Shanghai Key Laboratory of Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Boundary Dynamics and Climate Change, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences/Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai 200438, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Greenhouse gases (GHGs) drive global land warming with varying regional impacts, but the role of land-atmosphere interactions in amplifying future warming hotspots remains underexplored. Our study shows that, under uncontrolled GHG emissions, North America and Europe are projected to experience the highest warming by the late 21st century (3.7° ± 0.7°C and 3.8° ± 0.5°C, respectively), exceeding the global average of 2.7° ± 0.4°C in other regions. Approximately one-quarter of this warming in North America and Europe is linked to land-air coupling and associated hot-dry feedback mechanisms, where warming accelerates soil drying, further intensifying surface heating. This feedback could transform nearly 30% of land in these regions into arid or extremely arid zones, significantly impacting ecosystems and agriculture. These results underscore the vulnerability of North America and Europe to amplified climate risks driven by GHG emissions and strengthened land-atmosphere feedbacks.

Indexed as

extreme dry-hotland-air couplingNorth America and Europesoil moisture

Identifiers

PMID41311708
PMCPMC12648562

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.