Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41310705›Full record

ArticleParasites & vectors2025

Modeling Culicoides paraensis distribution and implications for Oropouche virus transmission in Brazil.

Camila Lorenz, Thiago Salomão de Azevedo, Alekin Bispo Gomes, Francisco Chiaravalloti-Neto, Maria Anice Mureb Sallum

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Parasites & vectors, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Oropouche fever cases in Salvador, Bahia, Brazil, 2024.The Brazilian journal of infectious diseases : an official publication of the Brazilian Society of Infectious Diseases
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Camila LorenzDepartment of Parasitology, Instituto Butantan, São Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil. camila.lorenz@butantan.gov.br.
Thiago Salomão de AzevedoSecretary of Health, Municipality of Santa Barbara d'Oeste, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Alekin Bispo GomesDepartment of Parasitology, Instituto Butantan, São Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Francisco Chiaravalloti-NetoDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health of University of Sao Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Maria Anice Mureb SallumDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health of University of Sao Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.

Funding

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo 2022/13367-9
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Oropouche virus (OROV) is mainly transmitted to humans by Culicoides paraensis, a biting midge widely distributed across the Americas. In this study, we modeled the potential distribution of C. paraensis in Brazil using environmental variables and found that temperature-related factors, particularly minimum temperature and annual temperature range, were the strongest predictors of its occurrence. Comparison of the predicted distribution with confirmed autochthonous OROV cases revealed several areas of mismatch, suggesting either underreporting of C. paraensis or the involvement of additional vector species in transmission. These findings highlight the need to integrate C. paraensis into Brazil's arbovirus surveillance systems and to strengthen entomological monitoring with the support of remote sensing, climate data, and ecological research to better anticipate and mitigate future transmission risks.

Indexed as

Animal DistributionBunyaviridae InfectionsCeratopogonidaeInsect VectorsOrthobunyavirusAnimalsBrazilHumansTemperature

Identifiers

PMID41310705
PMCPMC12750596

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.