Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41309681›Full record

ArticleNPJ science of food2025

Burden and projections of diet related early onset gastrointestinal cancers in young adults.

Hao Wu, Weihan Li, Kexin He, Hao Wang, Ruixue Huo, Shu-Heng Jiang, Junli Xue

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ science of food, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Hao Wu *Department of Oncology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, 200092, P.R. China.
Weihan Li *Department of Oncology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, 200092, P.R. China.
Kexin HeDepartment of Oncology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, 200092, P.R. China.
Hao WangDepartment of Oncology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, 200092, P.R. China.
Ruixue HuoDepartment of Oncology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, 200092, P.R. China.
Shu-Heng JiangState Key Laboratory of Systems Medicine for Cancer, Shanghai Cancer Institute, Ren Ji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, 200240, P.R. China. shjiang@shsci.org.
Junli XueDepartment of Oncology, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, 200092, P.R. China. 1310666xuejunli@tongji.edu.cn.

Funding

the Academic Leaders Training Program of Pudong Health Bureau of Shanghai PWRd2021-09the CSCO research funding Y-xsk2021-0003, Y-2022HER2AZMS-0181the Healthcare Talents Elite Program of Shanghai Pudong New Area 2025PDWSYCBJ-02the Natural Science Foundation of China 82372922
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The global burden of early-onset gastrointestinal cancers, including colorectal cancer and gastric cancer, among individuals aged 15-49 years has risen substantially over the past three decades. Among modifiable risk factors, dietary patterns have emerged as key contributors to this increase. Using GBD 2021 data, we estimated age-standardized DALYs for EO-CRC and EOGC attributable to low fiber, high processed meat, and high sodium from 1990-2021, stratified by sex, country, and SDI. ARIMA models projected trends to 2050 (95% UIs). In 2021, dietary-attributable DALYs were 1,248.6/100,000 for EO-CRC and 238.1/100,000 for EOGC, with higher burdens in males (male-to-female ratio: 1.16 and 1.64). Taiwan (China) had the highest EO-CRC burden (237.7/100,000), Mongolia the highest EOGC burden (30.7/100,000). Middle- and high-SDI countries bore disproportionately high EO-CRC burdens (57.96/100,000), and socioeconomic inequalities widened over time. By 2050, EO-CRC DALYs are projected to increase by 31.6% (1,642.6/100,000), with South Asia most affected, while EOGC DALYs are expected to decline by 18.7%. EO-GIC burdens are rising in young populations, driven by low fiber, high processed meat, and high sodium intake, with marked sex, regional, and socioeconomic disparities. Targeted dietary interventions are urgently needed, particularly in high-risk and rapidly westernizing regions.

Identifiers

PMID41309681
PMCPMC12660710

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.