ArticleMicroorganisms2025
Role of Genomic, Economic, and Demographic Disparities in Mpox Epidemic in Africa: A Retrospective Cross-Country Analysis.
Article in Microorganisms, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
Abstract
To investigate the role of epidemic predictors in the mpox outbreak in Africa. This was a retrospective analysis of national-level mpox surveillance data from 20 mpox-affected African countries from January through December 2024. Predictors included viral clades, gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, and population density. A negative binomial regression model estimated the incidence rates ratio (IRR) [95% confidence interval] for mpox incidence and mortality. Random forest models assessed the influence of each predictor in the epidemic dynamic. Clade II was associated with lower mpox incidence (IRR = 0.15 [0.02-0.97]) and mortality (IRR = 0.09 [0.01-1.72]) compared to Clade I. GDP per capita was associated with a 95% reduction in cases count per US $1000 (IRR = 0.05 [0.38-0.74]). Population density was not significantly associated with mpox incidence or mortality. Random forest analysis confirmed GDP per capita as the strongest predictor of mpox burden. The 2024 mpox epidemic highlights how countries with low GDP per capita and Clade I face greater outbreak burdens. Strengthening health systems and addressing poverty as a key social determinant of health through a multisectoral approach are essential to ensure equitable outbreak prevention, control, and long-term resilience.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.