Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41295979›Full record

ArticleCancer research communications2026

Cell State Transitions Drive the Evolution of Disease Progression in B-Lymphoblastic Leukemia.

Curtis Gravenmier, Sadegh Marzban, Yi-Han Tang, Nancy Gillis, Bijal D Shah, Lynn C Moscinski, Ling Zhang, Jeffrey West

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer research communications, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Mechanistic learning to predict and understand minimal residual disease.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Curtis Gravenmier *Hematopathology and Laboratory Medicine, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute, Tampa, Florida.ORCID 0000-0003-4120-5339
Sadegh Marzban *Integrated Mathematical Oncology, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute, Tampa, Florida.ORCID 0000-0002-9435-017X
Yi-Han TangDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute, Tampa, Florida.ORCID 0009-0006-2248-1978
Nancy GillisDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute, Tampa, Florida.ORCID 0000-0002-7744-8490
Bijal D ShahDepartment of Malignant Hematology, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute, Tampa, Florida.ORCID 0000-0003-4328-6021
Lynn C MoscinskiHematopathology and Laboratory Medicine, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute, Tampa, Florida.ORCID 0000-0002-2609-4063
Ling ZhangHematopathology and Laboratory Medicine, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute, Tampa, Florida.ORCID 0000-0002-1463-1458
Jeffrey WestIntegrated Mathematical Oncology, H. Lee Moffitt Cancer Center & Research Institute, Tampa, Florida.ORCID 0000-0001-9579-4664

Funding

Moffitt Cancer Center (MCC) Center of Excellence for Evolutionary TherapyUniversity of South Florida (USF) GME Research Grant
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cancer stem cells (CSC) are hypothesized to promote tumor progression through innate chemoresistance and self-renewal. CSCs reside in the CD34+/CD38- immunophenotypic subpopulation of acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Isolation of CSCs from B-lymphoblastic leukemia (B-ALL) has proven difficult, and the cells of interest apparently are not isolated to the CD34+/CD38- compartment. This may be explained, in part, by temporal variations of CD34 and CD38 expression which result in stochastic cell state transitions (e.g., from CD34+/CD38+ to CD34+/CD38-). We present a mathematical model of these transitions and correlate salient findings with BCR::ABL1 status, minimal residual disease (MRD), and relapse in adult B-ALL. As the CSC hypothesis is well supported in AML, we focus on transitions to and from the hematopoietic stem cell compartment (CD34+/CD38-). Our analysis suggests the presence of dedifferentiating transitions to a CD34+/CD38- stem cell-like immunophenotype, especially in B-ALL with BCR::ABL1. In contrast, BCR::ABL1-negative patient samples have low CD34+/CD38- self-renewal rates and either high CD34+/CD38+ or CD34-/CD38+ incoming rates. High CD34+/CD38- self-renewal is also associated with positive MRD following induction chemotherapy. We find a lack of observable changes in cell state transitions between diagnosis and relapse specimens. Furthermore, simulated therapies targeting the stem cell-like compartment indicate that blocking transitions to the CD34+/CD38- state (i.e., blocking dedifferentiation) is more effective than promoting transitions from the CD34+/CD38- state toward other states (i.e., promoting differentiation) to reduce the proportion of CD34+/CD38- cells. The modeling framework used here is a novel, useful tool to infer prognosis and genotype from routine flow cytometry. SIGNIFICANCE: Flow cytometry characterization of B-ALL samples (diagnosis, remission, and relapse) is used to parameterize a mathematical model of cell state transition rates and stratify patients for post-induction chemotherapy MRD.

Indexed as

Neoplastic Stem CellsPrecursor B-Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-LymphomaADP-ribosyl Cyclase 1Antigens, CD34Disease ProgressionFusion Proteins, bcr-ablHumansImmunophenotypingNeoplasm, ResidualADP-ribosyl Cyclase 1Antigens, CD34Fusion Proteins, bcr-abl

Identifiers

PMID41295979
PMCPMC12775648

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.