ArticleFrontiers in immunology2025
Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predicts inpatient gout recurrence: a large-scale multicenter retrospective cohort with machine-learning validation.
Article in Frontiers in immunology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
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21 authors.
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Abstract
Background: The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an accessible marker of systemic inflammation. However, its prognostic value for inpatient gout recurrence, particularly in comparison with traditional biomarkers, remains unclear. This study aims to investigate the association of NLR with inpatient gout recurrence, and compare its performance with traditional markers. Methods: In this international, multicenter retrospective cohort study, hospitalized patients with gout were enrolled from the GoutRe cohort (China, 2010-2025) and MIMIC-IV cohort (USA, 2008-2019). Restricted cubic spline, Cox regression and competing risk models were deployed to visualize and assess the association of NLR with inpatient gout recurrence risk. Model performance was evaluated using the C-statistic, net reclassification improvement, and decision curve analysis. Multiple machine learning algorithms were employed for external validation. Results: Among 7,603 patients (GoutRe: 5,584; MIMIC-IV: 2,019), elevated NLR (>2.69) was independently associated with a higher inpatient gout recurrence risk (GoutRe: HR = 2.05; MIMIC-IV: HR = 2.84; both Conclusions: Elevated NLR is a robust, accessible biomarker independently associated with inpatient gout recurrence. Its integration into clinical risk models enhances prediction accuracy and supports personalized inpatient gout recurrence prevention strategies.
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