Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41291658›Full record

ArticleRespiratory research2025

A serum biomarker-based index for predicting progressive pulmonary fibrosis in patients with anti-synthetase syndrome: the LOCCM index.

Longyang Zhu, Shiyu Wu, Chen Zong, Yiran Chen, Chao Sun, Yingfang Zhang, Xinxin Zhang, Xiaoming Shu, Xin Lu, Guochun Wang and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Respiratory research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

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3citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Longyang ZhuPeking University China-Japan Friendship School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China.
Shiyu WuPeking University China-Japan Friendship School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China.
Chen ZongPeking University China-Japan Friendship School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China.
Yiran ChenDepartment of Rheumatology, Key Lab of Myositis, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, 100029, China.
Chao SunPeking University China-Japan Friendship School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China.
Yingfang ZhangPeking University China-Japan Friendship School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China.
Xinxin ZhangPeking University China-Japan Friendship School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China.
Xiaoming ShuPeking University China-Japan Friendship School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China.
Xin LuPeking University China-Japan Friendship School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China.
Guochun WangPeking University China-Japan Friendship School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China. guochunwang@hotmail.com.
Qinglin PengPeking University China-Japan Friendship School of Clinical Medicine, Beijing, China. pqinglin@163.com.

Funding

Elite Medical Professionals Project of China-Japan Friendship Hospital ZRJY2024-BJ04National Natural Science Foundation of China 82371810National Natural Science Foundation of China 82372320
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInterstitial lung disease (ILD) is the most prominent clinical feature of antisynthetase syndrome (ASyS), with a subset of patients developing progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF), which is associated with a poor prognosis. However, the prevalence, clinical characteristics, and predictive factors of PPF in patients with ASyS remains unclear.

methodsThis longitudinal cohort study retrospectively enrolled 643 patients with ASyS-associated ILD. Clinical data, outcomes, and serum biomarkers were analyzed in patients with PPF. Receiver operating characteristic curves, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, and logistic regression were used to identify key biomarkers associated with PPF.

resultsFibrotic ILD was observed in 51.2% of patients with ASyS, while PPF was observed in 27.6% of patients with ASyS and fibrotic ILD during follow-up (median, 48.9 months). Patients with PPF were more likely to be male (37.5% vs. 23.2%, p = 0.043), have a smoking history (29.7% vs. 14.3%, p = 0.012), exhibit higher rates of dysphagia (10.9% vs. 2.4%, p = 0.017), and have lower diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO, 47.30% vs. 57.00%, p = 0.004) at baseline compared to those without PPF. No association was observed between PPF and anti-aminoacyl transfer RNA synthetase (ARS) antibody specificity (p = 0.164). Patients with PPF had significantly worse prognosis than those without PPF (log-rank test, p < 0.001). Lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), osteopontin, CA15-3, CYFRA21-1, and matrix metalloproteinase-7 (MMP-7) were identified as key biomarkers associated with PPF and incorporated into a LOCCM index (score range: 0-5). Among patients with LOCCM scores ranging from 0 to 5, the proportions of PPF were 0.0%, 4.5%, 13.3%, 35.1%, 65.0%, and 100.0%, respectively. The LOCCM index demonstrated strong predictive power for PPF in patients with ASyS and fibrotic ILD (AUC: 0.865, p < 0.001). Internal validations further confirmed its excellent discriminative performance and good calibration. Longitudinal assessment revealed that LOCCM index scores increased in patients with PPF and decreased in those without PPF.

conclusionsApproximately half of patients with ASyS-ILD presented with fibrotic ILD, among whom approximately one-quarter developed PPF. The LOCCM index is a promising tool for identifying patients with ASyS at risk for PPF development.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionMyositisPulmonary FibrosisAdultAgedBiomarkersCohort StudiesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLongitudinal StudiesLung Diseases, InterstitialMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesBiomarkersAnti-synthetase syndromeFibrotic interstitial lung diseaseProgressive pulmonary fibrosisSerum biomarker

Identifiers

PMID41291658
PMCPMC12648827

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.