Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41291527›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2025

Global impact of air pollution on cancer: causal evidence and health inequities across regions from 1990 to 2021.

Jintao Zhou, Lixia Liu, Wenguang He

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Jintao ZhouSchool of Basic Medicine, Shanxi University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Taiyuan, China.
Lixia LiuTraditional Chinese Medicine Department, Shanxi Province Cancer Hospital, Shanxi Hospital Affiliated to Cancer Hospital Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Cancer Hospital Affiliated to Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China.
Wenguang HeSchool of Basic Medicine, Shanxi University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Taiyuan, China. rxiaoying@163.com.

Funding

Natural Science Research Program of Shanxi Province 202403021211188
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study explored the correlation and causation between air pollutants and cancer at both the macro level, using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data, and the genetic level, based on Genome-Wide Association Study (GWAS) data.

methodThis study investigated the impact of air pollution on cancer burden at global, regional, and national levels, analyzing variations across age groups and genders and exploring its association with the socio-demographic index (SDI). An ARIMA model was applied to predict the future prevalence of air pollution-related cancers through 2050. Additionally, the study examined the causal relationship between specific air pollutants and 17 types of cancer by conducting two-sample MR analyses, utilizing GWAS data from the UK Biobank and FinnGen databases to assess genetic susceptibility.

resultIn 2021, air pollution contributed to approximately 0.37 million cancer-related deaths and 8.93 million DALYs, reflecting a declining trend in this0 health burden before 2020, followed by a slight increase in 2021. The highest burden was observed among individuals aged 75-90, with males being more affected. Projections indicate a likely decline in disease prevalence in high-SDI regions, while countries such as China and parts of Africa may face greater challenges by 2030 and 2050. Mendelian randomization analyses identified significant associations of PM₂.₅, NO₂, and NOx with bronchial and lung cancers and of NO₂ with stomach cancer, validated in both discovery and replication datasets, with the NO₂ association with gastric cancer remaining significant after adjustment for smoking.

conclusionThe GBD study revealed the macro-level impact of air pollution on cancer, with MR analysis confirming its genetic link. These findings underscore the urgent need for targeted policies and interventions to control air pollution and reduce the cancer burden.

Indexed as

Air PollutionHealth Status DisparitiesNeoplasmsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAir PollutantsEnvironmental ExposureFemaleGenome-Wide Association StudyGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceAir PollutantsAir pollutionCancer burdenGlobal Burden of DiseaseMendelian randomization

Identifiers

PMID41291527
PMCPMC12649100

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.