Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41287433›Full record

ArticleClinics in shoulder and elbow2025

Current comorbidity indices inadequately identify patients who experience early adverse outcomes following total shoulder arthroplasty.

Alexander R Zhu, Eve R Glenn, Laurence Okeke, James H Padley, Edward G McFarland

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinics in shoulder and elbow, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Alexander R ZhuDivision of Shoulder and Elbow Surgery, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Eve R GlennDivision of Shoulder and Elbow Surgery, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Laurence OkekeDivision of Shoulder and Elbow Surgery, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
James H PadleyDivision of Shoulder and Elbow Surgery, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Edward G McFarlandDivision of Shoulder and Elbow Surgery, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPatient-related outcomes are increasingly emphasized in anatomic (ATSA) or reverse total shoulder arthroplasty (RTSA). Identifying patients at risk of adverse outcomes is key to mitigating complications. Comorbidity indices such as the American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status (ASA), classification, modified Charlson Comorbidity Index (mCCI), Elixhauser Comorbidity Measure (ECM), and 5-Factor Modified Frailty Index (mFI-5) can predict postoperative complications but were developed primarily for inpatient populations. Whereas studies have assessed these indices for total joint arthroplasty, few have assessed their performance for complications following TSA. This study compared their prognostic values for 30-day adverse outcomes after TSA.

methodsUsing the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database, 39,810 patients who underwent ATSA or RTSA (2011- 2022) were analyzed. Logistic regression evaluated six outcomes: non-home discharge, length of stay greater than 1 day, major or minor complications, readmission, and mortality. Predictive performance was assessed using the concordance statistic (C statistic), where values greater than 0.7 indicate good discrimination and those greater than 0.8 indicate excellent discrimination.

resultsOf all the indices, only the mCCI was a good predictor of non-home discharge (C statistic, 0.713; 95% CI, 0.705-0.722). The ASA, ECM, and mFI-5 demonstrated limited predictive value for all outcomes.

conclusionsAmong the indices analyzed, only the mCCI demonstrated acceptable predictive accuracy and only for discharge destination. None of the indices effectively identified patients at risk for adverse outcomes, underscoring the need for a TSA-specific scoring system. Level of evidence: III.

Indexed as

30-Day outcomesComorbidity indexMortalityRisk stratificationTotal shoulder arthroplasty

Identifiers

PMID41287433
PMCPMC12415453

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