Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41287073›Full record

Trial reportMilitary Medical Research2025

Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of risk-adapted colorectal cancer screening: a randomized controlled trial and modeling analysis.

Hong-Da Chen, Bin Lu, Ju-Fang Shi, Yue-Yang Zhou, Ling-Bin Du, Xian-Zhen Liao, Dong-Hua Wei, Dong Dong, Yi Gao, Chen Zhu and 12 more

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Military Medical Research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors.

Hong-Da Chen *Center for Prevention and Early Intervention, National Infrastructures for Translational Medicine, Institute of Clinical Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China. chenhongda@pumch.cn.ORCID 0000-0001-6171-1162
Bin Lu *Center for Prevention and Early Intervention, National Infrastructures for Translational Medicine, Institute of Clinical Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Ju-Fang Shi *Office of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021, China.
Yue-Yang ZhouCenter for Prevention and Early Intervention, National Infrastructures for Translational Medicine, Institute of Clinical Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Ling-Bin DuDepartment of Cancer Prevention, Institute of Cancer and Basic Medicine (ICBM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Cancer Hospital of University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou, 310022, China.
Xian-Zhen LiaoDepartment of Cancer Prevention, Hunan Cancer Hospital, Changsha, 410013, China.
Dong-Hua WeiDepartment of Cancer Prevention, Anhui Provincial Cancer Hospital, Hefei, 230031, China.
Dong DongOffice of Cancer Prevention and Treatment, Xuzhou Cancer Hospital, Xuzhou, 221005, Jiangsu, China.
Yi GaoDepartment of Colorectum Surgery, Tumor Hospital of Yunnan Province, Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, 650118, China.
Chen ZhuDepartment of Cancer Prevention, Institute of Cancer and Basic Medicine (ICBM), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Cancer Hospital of University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou, 310022, China.
Rong-Biao YingDepartment of Surgical Oncology, Taizhou Cancer Hospital, Taizhou, 317502, Zhejiang, China.
Wei-Fang ZhengDepartment of Anorectal Diseases, Lanxi Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Jinhua, 321100, Zhejiang, China.
Shi-Peng YanDepartment of Cancer Prevention, Hunan Cancer Hospital, Changsha, 410013, China.
Hai-Fan XiaoDepartment of Cancer Prevention, Hunan Cancer Hospital, Changsha, 410013, China.
Juan ZhangDepartment of Cancer Prevention, Anhui Provincial Cancer Hospital, Hefei, 230031, China.
Yun-Xin KongOffice of Cancer Prevention and Treatment, Xuzhou Cancer Hospital, Xuzhou, 221005, Jiangsu, China.
Fu-Rong LiDepartment of Colorectum Surgery, Tumor Hospital of Yunnan Province, Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, 650118, China.
Na LiCenter for Prevention and Early Intervention, National Infrastructures for Translational Medicine, Institute of Clinical Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Jia-Hui LuoCenter for Prevention and Early Intervention, National Infrastructures for Translational Medicine, Institute of Clinical Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Chen-Yu LuoCenter for Prevention and Early Intervention, National Infrastructures for Translational Medicine, Institute of Clinical Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100730, China.
Hermann BrennerDivision of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), 69120, Heidelberg, Baden-Württemberg, Germany.
Min DaiDepartment of Cancer Epidemiology, National Cancer Center, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021, China. daimin2002@hotmail.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRisk-adapted colorectal cancer (CRC) screening has the potential to balance effectiveness with resource demands, yet evidence comparing it with established methods remains limited. This study aims to compare outcomes of risk-adapted CRC screening with colonoscopy and fecal immunochemical test (FIT) strategies.

methodsWe adopted a hybrid methodology combining real-world data from a population-based CRC screening randomized controlled trial (TARGET-C) with projections from a validated Markov-based microsimulation model (MIMIC-CRC). The TARGET-C trial enrolled 19,582 participants aged 50-74 years from 6 centers in China, randomized in a 1:2:2 ratio into 3 groups. After applying the exclusion criteria, the final analysis included 3883 participants in the one-time colonoscopy group, 7793 in the annual FIT group, and 7697 in the risk-adapted screening group. In the latter group, screening allocation was determined by a composite risk score incorporating age, sex, family history of CRC, smoking status, and body mass index, with high-risk participants referred for colonoscopy and low-risk participants for FIT. The primary outcome was detection rates of advanced neoplasm (CRC and advanced adenoma) over 4 rounds. Secondary outcomes included screening participation, colonoscopy demand, and costs from a societal perspective. Long-term effectiveness and cost-effectiveness were modeled over 15 years using MIMIC-CRC.

resultsAcross 4 rounds, overall participation rates (attending at least one screening round) were 42.3% (colonoscopy), 99.8% (FIT), and 92.5% (risk-adapted). Detection rates of advanced neoplasms were 2.8%, 2.3%, and 2.6%, respectively, with no significant differences (P > 0.05). Colonoscopies needed to detect 1 advanced neoplasm were 15.4, 7.9, and 9.3, respectively. From a societal perspective, the cost for detecting 1 advanced neoplasm was 15,341, 21,754, and 24,300 Chinese Yuan, respectively. Over 15 years, risk-adapted screening reduced incidence by 16.7% and mortality by 21.5% compared with no screening, slightly less effective than colonoscopy (24.6% and 24.8%, respectively). Under observed real-world adherence, colonoscopy was the most cost-effective; under perfect full adherence, risk-adapted screening was the most cost-effective.

conclusionsIn this population-based CRC screening trial, risk-adapted screening, colonoscopy, and FIT demonstrated comparable effectiveness, but differed in participation rates, resource utilization, and cost-effectiveness. Risk-adapted screening could serve as a complementary approach to established strategies, particularly when health resources are limited.

trial registrationChinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR1800015506).

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsCost-Benefit AnalysisEarly Detection of CancerMass ScreeningAgedChinaColonoscopyFemaleHumansMaleMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedOccult BloodRisk AssessmentColorectal cancer (CRC)Cost-effectivenessRandomized controlled trialRisk-adapted screeningScreening

Identifiers

PMID41287073
PMCPMC12642085

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.