Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41286348›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Machine learning models predicting inpatient falls.

Hojjat Salehinejad, Ricky Rojas, Kingsley Iheasirim, Paul Takahashi, Bijan J Borah, Mohammed Yousufuddin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Hojjat SalehinejadKern Center for the Science of Health Care Delivery, Division of Healthcare Delivery Research, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine and Science, 200 First St SW, Rochester, MN, 55905, USA.
Ricky RojasKern Center for the Science of Health Care Delivery, Division of Healthcare Delivery Research, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine and Science, 200 First St SW, Rochester, MN, 55905, USA.
Kingsley IheasirimDepartment of Medicine, Mayo Clinic Health System, Mankato, MN, USA.
Paul TakahashiDepartment of Community Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Bijan J BorahKern Center for the Science of Health Care Delivery, Division of Healthcare Delivery Research, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine and Science, 200 First St SW, Rochester, MN, 55905, USA. borah.bijan@mayo.edu.
Mohammed YousufuddinDepartment of Hospital Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic Health System, 1000 First Dr. NW., Austin, MN, 55912, USA. Yousufuddin.Mohammed@mayo.edu.

Funding

Mayo Clinic Kern Center for the Science of Health Care Delivery, The Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA Kern Center RFA
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Accurate prediction of inpatient fall risk is crucial for preventing injuries and improving patient safety in hospitals. The widely used Hester-Davis score (HD) lacks precision, highlighting the need for more advanced models. This retrospective study analyzed 46,695 patients from 17 hospitals across four U.S. states, admitted between January 2018 and July 2022, including 4245 fallers. Four dynamic machine learning models were developed using HD variables alone and in combination with socio-demographics, comorbidities, physiological measures, medications, and timeseries data updated at 8- and 24 h intervals. Among the models, Extreme Gradient Boosting model outperformed HD, achieving an AUC of 0.87 (95% CI 0.86-0.88), compared to HD AUCs of 0.57 (95% CI 0.56-0.58) and 0.62 (95% CI 0.59-0.61) at thresholds of 7 and 20. Key predictors included pre-existing neurological conditions, behavioral abnormalities, oxygen saturation, heart rate, and IV furosemide use. Prospective validation is required for real-time implementation in clinical practice.

Indexed as

Accidental FallsInpatientsMachine LearningAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsUnited StatesFallsMachine learning modelStatistical model

Identifiers

PMID41286348
PMCPMC12749671

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.