Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41285758›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Sequence of abrupt transitions in Antarctic drainage basins before and during the Mid-Pleistocene Transition.

Christian Wirths, Antoine Hermant, Christian Stepanek, Thomas F Stocker, Johannes C R Sutter

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Christian WirthsClimate and Environmental Physics, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland. christian.wirths@unibe.ch.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2000-0804
Antoine HermantClimate and Environmental Physics, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Christian StepanekAlfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Center for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3912-6271
Thomas F StockerClimate and Environmental Physics, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Johannes C R SutterClimate and Environmental Physics, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.

Funding

EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 820970European Commission (EC) 101118519Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation) 200492Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation) 211542
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Unraveling the drivers of climate variability during the Mid-Pleistocene Transition (MPT) remains a central challenge in paleoclimate research. This interval marked a shift from 41-kyr to 100-kyr glacial cycles associated with larger ice sheets. While previous studies emphasize interactions between climate and Northern Hemisphere ice sheets, Antarctica's role remains unclear. We use the Parallel Ice Sheet Model to simulate Antarctic Ice Sheet evolution over the last 3 million years, applying a climate index approach. Our simulations show that between 1.9 and 0.8 Ma, several Antarctic drainage basins underwent structural re-organization at different times, including the formation of a stable marine-based West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS). We analyze the drivers of these thresholds and their associated state transitions. Our findings reveal tri-stability in the Thwaites basin and suggest that WAIS thresholds and their complex interactions amplified  ~ 100-kyr climate variability before and during the MPT, providing new insights into long-term climate dynamics.

Identifiers

PMID41285758
PMCPMC12644747

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.