Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41285755›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Sea Ice Loss leads to regime shifts in the arctic biological pump.

Ming Wu, Yuhan Hu, Chengfeng Le, Fanyu Lin, Tingyu Gu, Peifang Deng, Zong-Pei Jiang, Kui Wang, Yihui Chen, Wei-Lei Wang and 8 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Ming Wu *State Key Laboratory of Ocean Sensing & Ocean College, Zhejiang University, Zhoushan, China.
Yuhan Hu *State Key Laboratory of Ocean Sensing & Ocean College, Zhejiang University, Zhoushan, China.
Chengfeng LeState Key Laboratory of Ocean Sensing & Ocean College, Zhejiang University, Zhoushan, China. chengfengle@zju.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4536-1913
Fanyu LinState Key Laboratory of Ocean Sensing & Ocean College, Zhejiang University, Zhoushan, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0002-6071-2512
Tingyu GuState Key Laboratory of Ocean Sensing & Ocean College, Zhejiang University, Zhoushan, China.
Peifang DengState Key Laboratory of Ocean Sensing & Ocean College, Zhejiang University, Zhoushan, China.
Zong-Pei JiangState Key Laboratory of Ocean Sensing & Ocean College, Zhejiang University, Zhoushan, China.
Kui WangState Key Laboratory of Ocean Sensing & Ocean College, Zhejiang University, Zhoushan, China.
Yihui ChenDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9166-0837
Wei-Lei WangState Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, College of Ocean and Earth Sciences, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3201-7224
Musheng LanKey Laboratory for Polar Science of the Ministry of Natural Resources, Polar Research Institute of China, Shanghai, China.
Ruibo LeiKey Laboratory for Polar Science of the Ministry of Natural Resources, Polar Research Institute of China, Shanghai, China.
Jianfeng HeKey Laboratory for Polar Science of the Ministry of Natural Resources, Polar Research Institute of China, Shanghai, China.
Di QiPolar and Marine Research Institute, College of Harbor and Coastal Engineering, Jimei University, Xiamen, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4762-266X
Zhangxian OuyangSchool of Marine Science and Policy, University of Delaware, Newark, DE, USA.
John C LehrterSchool of Marine and Environmental Science, University of South Alabama, Mobile, AL, USA.
Chuanmin HuCollege of Marine Science, University of South Florida, St. Petersburg, FL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3949-6560
Wei-Jun CaiSchool of Marine Science and Policy, University of Delaware, Newark, DE, USA. wcai@udel.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3606-8325

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 41976164National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 42325602Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province (Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation) LR20D060002
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Arctic Ocean has undergone accelerated warming and a marked decline in sea ice over recent decades. Yet, the response of the biological pump-a critical mechanism for atmospheric carbon sequestration-remains poorly understood. Here, we develop a satellite-derived dataset (2003-2022) to identify a regime shift in the Arctic biological pump. Between 2003 and 2012, the strength and efficiency of the biological pump increased rapidly, primarily driven by sea ice decline. However, from 2013 to 2022, this trend plateaued, coinciding with stabilized sea ice conditions and increased phytoplankton biomass. Earth system model simulations (1850-2100) support the observed link between biological pump enhancement and sea ice loss, and project a future regime shift towards a weakened biological pump under nearly ice-free conditions, associated with shifts in phytoplankton community structure. These findings underscore the Arctic's vulnerability to climate-driven changes, with far-reaching implications for Arctic carbon sequestration and ecosystem stability.

Indexed as

Ice CoverArctic RegionsBiomassCarbon SequestrationClimate ChangeEcosystemGlobal WarmingOceans and SeasPhytoplankton

Identifiers

PMID41285755
PMCPMC12644881

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.