Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41285515›Full record

ArticleThe British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners2026

Consultations with locum doctors in UK general practice: longitudinal analysis of electronic health records.

Thomas Allen, Christos Grigoroglou, Kieran Walshe, Gemma Stringer, Jane Ferguson, Evangelos Kontopantelis, Stuart Stewart, Charlotte Morris, Darren M Ashcroft

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Thomas AllenManchester Centre for Health Economics, Division of Population Health, Health Services Research and Primary Care, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK thomas.allen@manchester.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-2972-7911
Christos GrigoroglouManchester Centre for Health Economics, Division of Population Health, Health Services Research and Primary Care, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1621-8648
Kieran WalsheAlliance Manchester Business School, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0696-480X
Gemma StringerAlliance Manchester Business School, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9325-3362
Jane FergusonHealth Services Management Centre, School of Social Policy and Society, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8129-8376
Evangelos KontopantelisNIHR School for Primary Care Research, Centre for Primary Care, Division of Population Health, Health Services Research and Primary Care, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6450-5815
Stuart StewartNIHR School for Primary Care Research, Centre for Primary Care, Division of Population Health, Health Services Research and Primary Care, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7767-4308
Charlotte MorrisNIHR School for Primary Care Research, Centre for Primary Care, Division of Population Health, Health Services Research and Primary Care, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9047-0481
Darren M AshcroftNIHR School for Primary Care Research, Centre for Primary Care, Division of Population Health, Health Services Research and Primary Care, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2958-915X

Funding

National Institute for Health and Care Research NIHR128349
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLocum doctors are vital for maintaining healthcare provision, especially in general practice. However, their levels of use, role, and impact remain relatively understudied and official statistics cannot be compared between UK countries.

aimTo explore locum use more comprehensively in the UK, over time and across geographies. DESIGN AND

settingA retrospective cohort study using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) GOLD from April 2010 to March 2022, analysing consultations across UK general practices.

methodConsultation types were categorised by GP type (locum versus permanent). Multilevel mixed-effects logistic regressions modelled the association between locum consultations and patient and practice characteristics.

resultsBetween 2010 and 2022, 914 UK general practices contributed to the dataset. UK locums provided more care than previously estimated, with a 2019 (pre-COVID-19 pandemic) mean of 14.9% (standard deviation 20.7) and median of 7.5% (interquartile range 2.3-17.5) of all consultations, indicating substantial variation. Over time, the use of locums in the UK remained relatively stable, but this masks different trends within the UK. The study found that use in England is increasing, in Scotland and Northern Ireland decreasing, and in Wales is flat. Regression analysis found that variation in locum use was largely unexplained by patient and practice characteristics.

conclusionThis study indicates higher use of locums across the UK than available NHS statistics would suggest. These differences are probably because of alternative ways of measuring GP activity (consultations versus hours worked). Regional and country differences highlight diverse workforce challenges where local solutions may be needed. These findings contribute to understanding NHS workforce dynamics and may help inform strategies for primary care service delivery.

Indexed as

COVID-19Electronic Health RecordsGeneral PracticeGeneral PractitionersReferral and ConsultationAdultAgedFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesSARS-CoV-2United Kingdomdelivery of health caregeneral practicelocumsprimary health careretrospective studyworkforce

Identifiers

PMID41285515
PMCPMC13060721

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.