Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41281500›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of gastrointestinal oncology2025

Survival prognosis in advanced HER-2 negative gastric cancer treated with immunochemotherapy: A novel model.

Zhi-Yuan Yao, Gang Bao, Geng-Chen Li, Qiu-Lin Hao, Li-Jie Ma, Yue-Xuan Rao, Ke Xu, Xiao Ma, Zheng-Xiang Han

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of gastrointestinal oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Zhi-Yuan YaoDepartment of Oncology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou 221000, Jiangsu Province, China.
Gang BaoThe First Clinical College of Xuzhou Medical University, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou 221000, Jiangsu Province, China.
Geng-Chen LiDepartment of Oncology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou 221000, Jiangsu Province, China.
Qiu-Lin HaoDepartment of Oncology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou 221000, Jiangsu Province, China.
Li-Jie MaThe First Clinical College of Xuzhou Medical University, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou 221000, Jiangsu Province, China.
Yue-Xuan RaoThe First Clinical College of Xuzhou Medical University, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou 221000, Jiangsu Province, China.
Ke XuThe First Clinical College of Xuzhou Medical University, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou 221000, Jiangsu Province, China.
Xiao MaDepartment of Oncology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing 210006, Jiangsu Province, China.
Zheng-Xiang HanDepartment of Oncology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou 221000, Jiangsu Province, China. xzpxlgc@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGastric cancer is one of the most common malignant tumors of the digestive system globally, with a generally poor prognosis for patients with advanced disease. In recent years, immune checkpoint inhibitors have made significant advancements in gastric cancer treatment, with some HER-2 negative advanced gastric cancer patients benefiting from the combination of immunotherapy and chemotherapy. However, significant biological heterogeneity exists among patients, resulting in a lack of effective tools to predict the benefits of immunotherapy and survival outcomes. Therefore, there is an urgent need to develop a scientific and precise survival prediction model to provide robust support for personalized treatment decisions.

aimTo develop and validate a novel survival prediction model for assessing the survival risk of advanced HER-2 negative gastric cancer patients receiving immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy, thereby enhancing the accuracy of prognostic evaluation and its clinical guidance value.

methodsThis retrospective study included 200 advanced HER-2 negative gastric cancer patients who received programmed cell death protein 1 inhibitors combined with chemotherapy. Independent prognostic factors for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were identified using multivariable Cox regression analysis, and a nomogram model was constructed based on these factors. The variables included in the regression analysis were selected based on their clinical relevance, routine application in gastric cancer evaluation, and availability within our dataset. The model's discrimination and calibration were assessed using the concordance index (C-index), the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and calibration plots.

resultsAmong the 200 advanced HER-2 negative gastric cancer patients, multivariable Cox regression analysis identified programmed death-ligand 1 expression level, microsatellite status, tumor-node-metastasis stage, tumor differentiation, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, and C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte index as independent prognostic factors for PFS and OS (all

conclusionThe nomogram model developed in this study effectively predicts the survival outcomes of advanced HER-2 negative gastric cancer patients receiving immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy, demonstrating good discrimination and consistency, and providing robust support for personalized clinical treatment decisions.

Indexed as

C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte indexEfficacyGastric cancerNeutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratioPredictive modelProgrammed death-1 inhibitor

Identifiers

PMID41281500
PMCPMC12635651

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.