Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41280341›Full record

ArticlePNAS nexus2025

The Indian Ocean Dipole drives imported-dominated dengue outbreaks in China: Mechanisms and predictions.

Jian Ma, Lei Xu, Qian Han, Jing Gao, Huihui Yuan, Kaixing Dong, Cunrui Huang, Cui Zhou, John S Ji, Chutian Zhang and 8 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in PNAS nexus, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Jian MaVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0211-8208
Lei XuVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2566-2118
Qian HanHainan Province Key Laboratory of One Health, Hainan University, Haikou, Hainan 570228, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6245-5252
Jing GaoVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7732-456X
Huihui YuanDepartment of Earth System Science, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling, Institute for Global Change Studies, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
Kaixing DongVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
Cunrui HuangVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
Cui ZhouVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
John S JiVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5002-118X
Chutian ZhangVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7510-6075
Huatang ZengDepartment of Health Assessment and Hospital Management Research, Shenzhen Health Development Research and Data Management Center, Shenzhen, Guangdong 518000, China.
Yongman GuoVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
Lexuan LuoVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
Xiangliang ZhangDepartment of Medical Statistics, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510080, China.
Yong LuoDepartment of Earth System Science, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modelling, Institute for Global Change Studies, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
Qiyong LiuNational Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China.
Nils Chr StensethVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1591-5399
Wannian LiangVanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Dengue fever, influenced by climate dynamics and human mobility in nonendemic regions, remains poorly understood. We assessed the effects of large-scale climate features on domestic dengue outbreaks using data from China (2013-2021) and projections for 2023-2028, incorporating climate, human mobility, and environmental factors. A significant positive correlation (

Indexed as

denguehuman mobilityIndian Ocean Dipoleoverseas imported casesstatistical models

Identifiers

PMID41280341
PMCPMC12637204

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.