Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41276506›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

"Vulnerabilities and compound risks of escalating climate disasters in the Brazilian Amazon".

Patrícia F Pinho, Rafaella Silvestrini, Martha Fellows, Letícia Perez, Ane Alencar, Carolina Guyot, Paulo Moutinho, David Lapola, Lindsay Stringer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Patrícia F PinhoInstituto de Pesquisa Ambiental da Amazônia (IPAM, Amazon Environmental Research Institute), Brasília, Federal District, Brazil. patricia.pinho@ipam.org.br.ORCID 0000-0002-4214-485X
Rafaella SilvestriniInstituto de Pesquisa Ambiental da Amazônia (IPAM, Amazon Environmental Research Institute), Brasília, Federal District, Brazil.
Martha FellowsInstituto de Pesquisa Ambiental da Amazônia (IPAM, Amazon Environmental Research Institute), Brasília, Federal District, Brazil.
Letícia PerezCentro de Estudos do Agronegócio (FGV Agro, Agribusiness Studies Center - Fundação Getulio Vargas), São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-6784-3964
Ane AlencarInstituto de Pesquisa Ambiental da Amazônia (IPAM, Amazon Environmental Research Institute), Brasília, Federal District, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-5605-7469
Carolina GuyotInstituto de Pesquisa Ambiental da Amazônia (IPAM, Amazon Environmental Research Institute), Brasília, Federal District, Brazil.
Paulo MoutinhoInstituto de Pesquisa Ambiental da Amazônia (IPAM, Amazon Environmental Research Institute), Brasília, Federal District, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-0596-1823
David LapolaCentro de Pesquisas Meteorológicas e Climáticas Aplicadas à Agricultura (CEPAGRI), Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas, São Paulo, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0002-2654-7835
Lindsay StringerDepartment of Environment & Geography, University of York, York, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0017-1654

Funding

Gordon and Betty Moore FoundationMott FoundationPeople and Climate Initiative
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Brazilian Amazon is severely impacted by extreme climate events, with 1.8 million people (6.4% of the Brazilian Amazon's population) affected by climate-related disasters each year between 2018 and 2022. Yet, how climate disasters specifically affect human populations in different municipalities in the Amazon is underexplored. We target this gap, presenting a region-wide spatiotemporal assessment of climate-related disasters and social vulnerability across the Brazilian Amazon over the period 2000-2022, considering floods, droughts, heatwaves, fires, and landslides, and using a compound risk lens. Analysis of secondary data shows disaster frequency surged, with wet events rising fivefold, fires tenfold, and droughts and heatwaves tripling. Economic losses rose 370% reaching USD 634.2 million annually, with wet events most damaging. Farming sustained over 60% of total losses, followed by infrastructure, housing, and health services. Smaller municipalities, which host 61% of the region's Indigenous population, experienced the highest relative impacts, including a 9.58% loss in economic growth and lower Social Progress Index scores. Data on non-economic losses and damages were lacking, but further exacerbated the impacts in these vulnerable areas. Findings underscore that climate change is a poverty multiplier, and highlight the urgent need for adaptation policy interventions to be justice-centered.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeDisastersSocial VulnerabilityBrazilCitiesDroughtsFiresFloodsHumansLandslides

Identifiers

PMID41276506
PMCPMC12749845

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.