Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41273998›Full record

Observational studyThe journal of nutrition, health & aging2026

An integrative approach to detecting potential blood-based biomarkers of cognitive frailty.

Motoki Furutani, Mutsumi Suganuma, Tohru Hosoyama, Risa Mitsumori, Marie Takemura, Yasumoto Matsui, Yukiko Nakano, Shumpei Niida, Kouichi Ozaki, Shosuke Satake and 1 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in The journal of nutrition, health & aging, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Motoki FurutaniMedical Genome Center, Research Institute, National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology, Aichi, Japan; Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Hiroshima University Graduate School of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima, Japan.
Mutsumi SuganumaMedical Genome Center, Research Institute, National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology, Aichi, Japan.
Tohru HosoyamaGeroscience Research Center, Research Institute, National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology, Aichi, Japan.
Risa MitsumoriMedical Genome Center, Research Institute, National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology, Aichi, Japan.
Marie TakemuraCenter for Frailty and Locomotive Syndrome, National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology, Aichi, Japan.
Yasumoto MatsuiCenter for Frailty and Locomotive Syndrome, National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology, Aichi, Japan.
Yukiko NakanoDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Hiroshima University Graduate School of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima, Japan.
Shumpei NiidaResearch Institute, National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology, Aichi, Japan.
Kouichi OzakiMedical Genome Center, Research Institute, National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology, Aichi, Japan; Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Hiroshima University Graduate School of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima, Japan; RIKEN Center for Integrative Medical Sciences, Yokohama, Japan.
Shosuke SatakeDepartment of Geriatric Medicine, Hospital, National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology, Aichi, Japan; Department of Frailty Research, Center for Gerontology and Social Science, Research Institute, National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology, Aichi, Japan.
Daichi ShigemizuMedical Genome Center, Research Institute, National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology, Aichi, Japan; Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Hiroshima University Graduate School of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Hiroshima, Japan. Electronic address: daichi@ncgg.go.jp.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveCognitive frailty, defined by the coexistence of cognitive decline and physical frailty, has been clinically defined, but its biological clues are still vague. This underscores the need for promising blood-based molecular biomarkers.

designCross-sectional observational study. SETTINGS AND

participantsFrailty was diagnosed using the Japanese version of the Cardiovascular Health Study (J-CHS), and mild cognitive impairment was assessed with the Japanese version of the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA-J) and Mini-Mental State Examination-Japanese (MMSE-J). Participants with MMSE-J ≥24, MoCA-J score ≤25, and J-CHS score ≥1 were classified as having cognitive frailty. This study included 87 older adults aged ≥65 years, comprising 44 robust and 43 with cognitive frailty. MEASUREMENTS: Blood samples and associated clinical data were obtained from the National Center for Geriatrics and Gerontology Biobank in Japan. A multi-omics analysis integrating clinical data, RNA-seq, aging-related factors, and metabolomics were conducted to identify potential biomarkers through logistic regression, adjusting for age, sex, and body mass index (BMI). An optimal set of biomarkers was determined by constructing prediction models using the random forest algorithm.

resultsThree candidate biomarkers were identified from aging-related factors-growth differentiation factor (GDF15), brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF), and Adiponectin-and three from metabolomics-myristic acid, nicotinamide, and γ-butyrobetaine. Using combinations of these candidates with clinical variables, we constructed risk prediction models. The best model incorporated one aging-related factors (GDF15) and two metabolites (myristic acid, and nicotinamide), achieving a high area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.96 in an independent validation cohort. This was significantly higher than models based solely on clinical information (age, sex, and BMI) (Welch's t-test, p <0.001). Among these biomarkers, myristic acid showed the highest influence, with a median Gini importance of 0.38 (95% confidence interval: 0.29-0.47).

conclusionsWe identified three promising biomarkers-GDF15, myristic acid, and nicotinamide-for cognitive frailty. Notably, low plasma myristic acid levels emerged as the most significant contributor to the prediction model. Further refinement and large-scale validation will be essential to support its future clinical application.

Indexed as

BiomarkersCognitive DysfunctionFrail ElderlyFrailtyAgedAged, 80 and overBrain-Derived Neurotrophic FactorCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleGeriatric AssessmentGrowth Differentiation Factor 15HumansJapanMaleMental Status and Dementia TestsBiomarkersBrain-Derived Neurotrophic FactorGDF15 protein, humanGrowth Differentiation Factor 15Blood-based biomarkerCognitive frailtyMetabolomeMyristic acidPrediction model

Identifiers

PMID41273998
PMCPMC12681723

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.