Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41272525›Full record

ArticleBMC cardiovascular disorders2025

The global burden of atrial fibrillation and atrial flutter in older adults (≥ 65 years): trends, disparities, and drivers (1990-2021).

Jing-Lin Wang, Yi-Ling Li, Shao-Bo Shi, Bo Yang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cardiovascular disorders, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jing-Lin WangDepartment of Cardiology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China, 238 Jiefang Road, Wuchang District, Hubei.
Yi-Ling LiDepartment of Public Health, The Central Hospital of Wuhan, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430014, China.
Shao-Bo ShiDepartment of Cardiology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China, 238 Jiefang Road, Wuchang District, Hubei. shiyige@whu.edu.cn.
Bo YangDepartment of Cardiology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China, 238 Jiefang Road, Wuchang District, Hubei. yybb112@whu.edu.cn.

Funding

Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities 2042024YXB003The Interdisciplinary Innovative Talents Foundation from Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University JCRCZN-2022-003
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe global burden of atrial fibrillation (AF) and atrial flutter (AFL), major contributors to stroke and heart failure, has substantially increased since 1990 due to aging populations and improved chronic disease survival. This study analyzed global, regional, and national trends in AF/AFL prevalence, incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) among those aged ≥ 65 years (1990-2021), stratified by age, sex, and socioeconomic development index (SDI).

methodsThe Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 dataset provided data on AF/AFL. The analysis included age standardization, average annual percentage change (AAPC) calculations, frontier analysis, and decomposition analysis to quantify the contributions of demographic and epidemiological changes.

resultsGlobal AF/AFL cases in those aged ≥ 65 years increased significantly (1990-2021), with a 203.91% increase in deaths. However, age-standardized rates varied; high-income North America showed the highest prevalence rate in 2021 at 11,815.10 per 100,000. Decomposition analysis showed that the increase was attributable to population aging and growth. Frontier analysis revealed countries with disproportionately high DALYs relative to their SDI.

conclusionsThe escalating global burden of AF/AFL in older adults demands targeted interventions and resource allocation to address regional disparities. While demographic changes are primary drivers, further research is crucial to understand the contribution of epidemiological factors and develop effective prevention and management strategies.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationAtrial FlutterGlobal HealthHealth Status DisparitiesAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionAge FactorsDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleGlobal Burden of DiseaseHumansIncidenceMalePrevalenceRisk AssessmentAtrial fibrillationAtrial flutterDisease burdenEpidemiologyOlder adults

Identifiers

PMID41272525
PMCPMC12639947

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.