Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41271716›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Variant-specific antibody correlates of protection against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron symptomatic and overall infections.

José Victor Zambrana, Ian A Mellis, Abigail Shotwell, Hannah E Maier, Yara Saborio, Carlos Barillas, Roger Lopez, Gerald Vasquez, Miguel Plazaola, Nery Sanchez and 8 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

José Victor Zambrana *Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0107-6173
Ian A Mellis *Aaron Diamond AIDS Research Center, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY, USA.
Abigail ShotwellDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Hannah E MaierDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5761-0801
Yara SaborioSustainable Sciences Institute, Managua, Nicaragua.
Carlos BarillasSustainable Sciences Institute, Managua, Nicaragua.
Roger LopezSustainable Sciences Institute, Managua, Nicaragua.
Gerald VasquezSustainable Sciences Institute, Managua, Nicaragua.
Miguel PlazaolaSustainable Sciences Institute, Managua, Nicaragua.
Nery SanchezSustainable Sciences Institute, Managua, Nicaragua.
Sergio OjedaSustainable Sciences Institute, Managua, Nicaragua.
Isabel GilbertsonDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.
Guillermina KuanSustainable Sciences Institute, Managua, Nicaragua.
Qian WangAaron Diamond AIDS Research Center, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY, USA.
Lihong LiuAaron Diamond AIDS Research Center, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY, USA.
Angel BalmasedaSustainable Sciences Institute, Managua, Nicaragua.
David D HoAaron Diamond AIDS Research Center, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY, USA. dh2994@cumc.columbia.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1627-149X
Aubree GordonDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA. gordonal@umich.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9352-7877

Funding

NIAID Centers of Excellence for Influenza Research and Response: Universal Influenza Vaccine Research Activities75N93021C00016 · NIAID · ST. JUDE CHILDREN'S RESEARCH HOSPITAL · PI WEBBY, RICHARD · 2021 to 2025
$91.4M
NIAID Centers of Excellence for Influenza Research and Response: Universal Influenza Vaccine Research Activities75N93021C00014 · NIAID · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI GARCIA-SASTRE, ADOLFO · 2021 to 2025
$62.6M
Flu Dynamics COVID-19 SupplementR01AI120997 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI GORDON, AUBREE L · 2017 to 2021
$4.1M
Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation) INV019355Gates Foundation INV-019355NIAID NIH HHS 75N93021C00014NIAID NIH HHS 75N93021C00016NIAID NIH HHS HHSN272201400006CNIAID NIH HHS R01 AI120997
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Vaccination and prior infection elicit neutralizing antibodies targeting SARS-CoV-2, yet the quantitative relationship between serum antibodies and infection risk against viral variants remains uncertain, particularly in underrepresented regions. We investigated the protective correlation of pre-exposure serum neutralizing antibody levels, employing a panel of SARS-CoV-2 pseudoviruses (Omicron BA.1, Omicron BA.2, and ancestral D614G), and Spike-binding antibody levels, with symptomatic BA.1 or BA.2 SARS-CoV-2 infections and overall infection, in 345 household contacts from a SARS-CoV-2 household cohort study in Nicaragua. A four-fold increase in homotypic-neutralizing (e.g., BA.1-neutralizing vs. BA.1 exposure) titers was correlated with protection from symptomatic infections (BA.1 protection: 28% [95%CI 12-42%]; BA.2 protection: 43% [20-62%]), and ancestral-neutralizing titers were also correlated with protection from either variant, but only at higher average levels than homotypic. Mediation analyses revealed that homotypic and D614G-neutralizing antibodies mediated protection from infection and symptomatic infection both from prior infection and vaccination. These findings underscore the importance of monitoring variant-specific antibody responses and highlight that antibodies targeting circulating strains may be more predictive of protection from infection. Nevertheless, ancestral-strain-neutralizing antibodies remain relevant as a correlate of protection. Our study emphasizes the need for continued efforts to assess antibody correlates of protection.

Indexed as

Antibodies, NeutralizingAntibodies, ViralCOVID-19SARS-CoV-2AdolescentAdultAgedCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNicaraguaSpike Glycoprotein, CoronavirusYoung AdultAntibodies, NeutralizingAntibodies, ViralSpike Glycoprotein, Coronavirusspike protein, SARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID41271716
PMCPMC12639126

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.