Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41268784›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association2025

Prognostic value of plasma glial fibrillary acidic protein in cognitively unimpaired older adults: Results from the A4 study.

Elham Ghanbarian, Tianchen Qian, Babak Khorsand, Lukai Zheng, S Ahmad Sajjadi, Joshua D Grill, Laura A Rabin, Richard B Lipton, Reisa A Sperling, Ali Ezzati

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. MethylCog predicts six-year cognitive ability beyond blood-based ADRD biomarkers.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  5. [Progress on prognostic assessment methods for mild cognitive impairment].Zhejiang da xue xue bao. Yi xue ban = Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences · 2026
    Review
  6. Comparative analyses of Alzheimer's disease blood biomarkers and cognitive domains.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Elham GhanbarianDepartment of Neurology, University of California, Irvine, California, USA.
Tianchen QianDepartment of Statistics, University of California, Irvine, California, USA.
Babak KhorsandDepartment of Neurology, University of California, Irvine, California, USA.
Lukai ZhengDepartment of Neurology, University of California, Irvine, California, USA.
S Ahmad SajjadiDepartment of Neurology, University of California, Irvine, California, USA.
Joshua D GrillDepartment of Psychiatry and Human Behavior, University of California, Irvine, California, USA.
Laura A RabinDepartment of Psychology, Brooklyn College and The Graduate Center of CUNY, Brooklyn, New York, USA.
Richard B LiptonThe Saul B. Korey Department of Neurology, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York, USA.
Reisa A SperlingCenter for Alzheimer Research and Treatment Brigham and Women's Hospital, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Ali EzzatiDepartment of Neurology, University of California, Irvine, California, USA.

Funding

The Alzheimer's Clinical Trial Consortium - Down Syndrome Network (ACTC- DSN)U24AG057437 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI Paul S. Aisen, RONALD C PETERSEN · 2018 to 2026
$198.4M
RECRUITMENT COREU19AG010483 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI FELDMAN, HOWARD · 2013 to 2020
$80.6M
Anti-Amyloid Treatment in Asymptomatic Alzheimer's Disease (A4) Open-Label Extension StudyR01AG063689 · NIA · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI AISEN, PAUL S., SPERLING, REISA A. · 2019 to 2024
$30.8M
Validation of the Remote Cognitive Aging and Alzheimer’s Disease REsearch (R-CARE) Toolbox for Diverse PopulationsR01AG080635 · NIA · ALBERT EINSTEIN COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI Ali Ezzati, Richard B. LIPTON · 2023 to 2026
$8.6M
Discovery and Trial Ready Cohort for Limbic Predominant Age Related TDP-43 Encephalopathy (TRC LATE)R01AG095017 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA-IRVINE · PI Ali Ezzati, Crystal M. Glover · 2025 to 2026
$6.3M
Predictive analytics for cognitive decline and Alzheimer’s diseaseK23AG063993 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA-IRVINE · PI EZZATI, ALI · 2020 to 2024
$984k
Alzheimer's Association SG-24-988292(ISAVRAD)Cure Alzheimer's FundNIA NIH HHS K23 AG063993NIA NIH HHS R01 AG063689NIA NIH HHS R01 AG080635NIA NIH HHS R01 AG095017NIA NIH HHS U19 AG010483NIA NIH HHS U24 AG057437NIH HHS NIA K23 AG063993NIH HHS R01 AG080635NIH HHS R01AG095017
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionPlasma glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), a marker of astrocytic activation, has been linked to Alzheimer's disease; however, its prognostic value in cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals remains unclear.

methodsWe included 949 CU older adults from the A4 preclinical AD trial and its companion LEARN cohort. Baseline plasma GFAP was measured, and associations with cognitive decline (Preclinical Alzheimer's Cognitive Composite [PACC]), Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) progression, and imaging biomarkers were assessed over 240 weeks.

resultsBaseline plasma GFAP was higher in females and in A4 (amyloid-positive) versus LEARN (amyloid-negative) participants. Cross-sectionally, elevated GFAP was associated with lower cognitive performance and greater amyloid burden. Longitudinally, higher GFAP predicted faster cognitive decline, increased risk of CDR progression, AD-related cortical atrophy, and amyloid conversion, with stronger effects in females. DISCUSSION: Plasma GFAP is a prognostic biomarker in CU older adults, predicting cognitive and biological changes, with stronger associations observed in females, highlighting a possible sex-specific vulnerability. HIGHLIGHTS: Elevated plasma glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) predicted faster cognitive decline measured by Preclinical Alzheimer's Cognitive Composite (PACC). GFAP was associated with increased risk of progression to mild cognitive impairment. GFAP predicted conversion to amyloid positivity in amyloid-negative subjects. Higher baseline GFAP was associated with cortical atrophy in Alzheimer's disease (AD) -signature areas. Associations of GFAP with cognition and AD biomarkers were stronger in females.

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseCognitive DysfunctionGlial Fibrillary Acidic ProteinAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkersCognitionCross-Sectional StudiesDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleNeuropsychological TestsPrognosisBiomarkersGFAP protein, humanGlial Fibrillary Acidic ProteinAlzheimer's diseaseamyloid statusbiomarkerscognitive declineGFAPsex‐differences

Identifiers

PMID41268784
PMCPMC12635861

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.