Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41267974›Full record

ReviewFrontiers in oncology2025

Durvalumab consolidation therapy in patients with stage III small cell lung cancer after concurrent chemoradiation: a China-based cost-effectiveness analysis.

Hui Zhang, Yuhang Liu, Bikun Cai, Mengyi Wang, Haonan Li, Hong Wang

Registry-linked trialAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Frontiers in oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03703297 (A Phase III, Randomized, Double-blind, Placebo-controlled, Multi-center, International Study of Durvalumab or Durvalumab and Tremelimumab as Consolidation Treatment for Patients With Limited Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer Who Have Not Progressed Following Concurrent Chemoradiation Therapy), which is not on this map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03703297 phase3active not recruitingnot on this map

A Phase III, Randomized, Double-blind, Placebo-controlled, Multi-center, International Study of Durvalumab or Durvalumab and Tremelimumab as Consolidation Treatment for Patients With Limited Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer Who Have Not Progressed Following Concurrent Chemoradiation Therapy (ADRIATIC)

TypeinterventionalSponsorAstraZenecaRan2018 to 2026Enrolled730ConditionsSmall Cell Lung CancerArmsDurvalumab, Tremelimumab, Placebo
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Hui ZhangSchool of Medical Business, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Yuhang LiuSchool of Medical Business, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Bikun CaiSchool of Medical Business, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Mengyi WangSchool of Medical Business, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.
Haonan LiSchool of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Hong WangSchool of Medical Business, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Limited-stage small-cell lung cancer (LS-SCLC) has suboptimal long-term survival despite standard chemoradiotherapy. Durvalumab, an anti-PD-L1 antibody, demonstrated survival benefits in the ADRIATIC Phase III trial, but its cost-effectiveness in China remains uncertain. This study evaluates the economic value of durvalumab as consolidation therapy for LS-SCLC post-chemoradiotherapy. Methods: A Markov model was constructed using data from the ADRIATIC trial (NCT03703297), simulating three health states: progression-free survival (PFS), progressive disease (PD), and death state, transition probabilities were derived from trial outcomes. A 10-year horizon, 5.0% discount rate, and willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds (1-3×per capita gross domestic product (GDP): $12,569.82-$37,709.46/QALY) were applied. All costs were converted to unified currency using the average exchange rate of 1 USD = 7.11 CNY, based on exchange rates from 1 January 2024, to 31 October 2024. Results: The study results demonstrated that while durvalumab provided clinical benefits by extending quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) by 0.44 compared to placebo (2.24 vs. 1.80), its high cost resulted in poor cost-effectiveness within China's healthcare system. The incremental cost reached $108,609.45, yielding an ICER of $245,591.59 per QALY, exceeding China's standard willingness-to-pay thresholds. Sensitivity analyses revealed drug pricing as the most influential factor, where a 30% price reduction could improve the ICER by 30.3%. The negative incremental net monetary benefit (-$107,394.34) further confirmed the economic challenges. These findings suggest that despite its clinical advantages, durvalumab's current pricing makes it economically unviable for routine use in China's LS-SCLC treatment without substantial cost reductions or alternative reimbursement strategies. Conclusion: Durvalumab improves survival in LS-SCLC but lacks cost-effectiveness under current pricing in China. Drug costs and health utilities are critical determinants. Policy measures, such as price negotiation, risk-sharing agreements, or subgroup targeting, may enhance affordability. Balancing clinical benefits with economic burden is essential for optimizing durvalumab's role in LS-SCLC management.

Indexed as

cost-effectivenessdurvalumablimited-stage small-cell lung cancerMarkov modelplacebo

Identifiers

PMID41267974
PMCPMC12626786

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.