ArticleNature communications2025
Bridging the short-term and long-term dynamics of economic structural change.
Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed.
- Bridging the short-term and long-term dynamics of economic structural change.Nature communications · 2025Article
- The coherence of US cities.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Skill dependencies uncover nested human capital.Nature human behaviour · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Economic development hinges on structural change, that is, transformations in what an economy produces. The field of economic complexity has investigated this process through two related but distinct branches: one studying how economies diversify, the other how the complexity of an economy is reflected in its output. However, a formal connection between these approaches, and their relationship to classic accounts of structural transformation (for example, from agriculture to manufacturing), remains unclear. Here we introduce a simple dynamical model that links these perspectives through one core idea: economies diversify preferentially into activities related to those they already do. Studying this model yields three main results: It generates quantities resembling economic complexity metrics, suggests these metrics summarize long-term structural change rather than directly infer an economy's complexity, and reproduces stylized facts of development. Our framework formally connects the field's conceptual strands, bridges short and long timescales of change, and adds granularity to classic descriptions of development.
Identifiers
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.