Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41255590›Full record

ArticleJournal of inflammation research2025

Stress-Induced Hyperglycemia as an Independent Predictor of Infectious Pancreatic Necrosis in Acute Pancreatitis: A Machine Learning-Driven Prognostic Model.

Xuchen Zhao, Jiale Xu, Congzhong Hu, Wei Xue, Zongyuan Che, Ruiqi Ling, Haoyang Chen, Yulin Feng, Xiaolong Li, Shaojian Mo and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of inflammation research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Xuchen Zhao *Department of Biliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University (Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital), Taiyuan, Shanxi, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0009-0005-5017-2622
Jiale Xu *Department of General Surgery, General Hospital of Tisco (The Sixth Hospital of Shanxi Medical University), Taiyuan, Shanxi, People's Republic of China.
Congzhong Hu *Department of Biliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University (Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital), Taiyuan, Shanxi, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0009-0006-0770-3587
Wei XueDepartment of Biliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University (Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital), Taiyuan, Shanxi, People's Republic of China.
Zongyuan CheDepartment of Biliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University (Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital), Taiyuan, Shanxi, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0009-0007-6567-825X
Ruiqi LingDepartment of Biliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University (Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital), Taiyuan, Shanxi, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0000-0002-9366-3318
Haoyang ChenDepartment of Biliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University (Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital), Taiyuan, Shanxi, People's Republic of China.ORCID 0009-0009-5901-1840
Yulin FengDepartment of Biliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University (Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital), Taiyuan, Shanxi, People's Republic of China.
Xiaolong LiDepartment of Biliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University (Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital), Taiyuan, Shanxi, People's Republic of China.
Shaojian MoDepartment of Biliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University (Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital), Taiyuan, Shanxi, People's Republic of China.
Yanzhang TianDepartment of Biliary and Pancreatic Surgery, The Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University (Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital), Taiyuan, Shanxi, People's Republic of China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: To investigate the impact of stress-induced hyperglycemia (SHG) at admission on clinical outcomes in acute pancreatitis (AP) by collecting and analyzing relevant clinical data. Methods: This study enrolled AP patients diagnosed at Shanxi Bethune Hospital from January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2022. Clinical data and 24-h laboratory indicators were retrospectively collected. We employed propensity score matching (PSM) to compare the impact of SHG on AP clinical outcomes before and after matching. A temporal split allocated patients into training/validation cohorts for developing and validating a clinical prediction model for infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN). Results: This study included 1343 acute pancreatitis patients, with 348 having SHG at admission. Before PSM, SHG patients showed significantly longer hospital stays (13.8 vs 12.28 days, p<0.001), higher ICU admission rates (6% vs 2%, p<0.001), and increased infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) (15% vs.6%). After using PSM to control for confounding factors, SHG patients maintained longer hospitalizations (13.61 vs 12.28 days, p=0.004), higher ICU admissions (6% vs 2%, p=0.005), and IPN rates (15% vs 6%, p<0.001). These results confirm SHG as an independent poor prognostic factor for AP rather than a reflection of baseline differences. In the training cohort, seven independent IPN predictors were identified: hyperlipidemia, SHG, modified CT severity index (MCTSI), systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), Prothrombin Time Activity (PT%), LDL-C, and peripancreatic effusion. The clinical prediction model demonstrated good performance in the validation cohort, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.891. Conclusion: PSM confirmed that SHG adversely impacts clinical outcomes in acute pancreatitis. The prediction model incorporating seven variables-hyperlipidemia, SHG, MCTSI, SIRS, PT%, LDL-C, and peripancreatic effusion-demonstrated favorable predictive performance and clinical utility for infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) in acute pancreatitis patients. Meanwhile, we developed a web-based calculator to enhance its clinical utility.

Indexed as

acute pancreatitisclinical prediction modelpropensity score matchingstress-induced hyperglycemia

Identifiers

PMID41255590
PMCPMC12620580

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