Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41250104›Full record

ArticleGenome biology2025

A comparison of computational methods for expression forecasting.

Eric Kernfeld, Yunxiao Yang, Joshua S Weinstock, Alexis Battle, Patrick Cahan

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Genome biology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Stack: In-Context Learning of Single-Cell Biology.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
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  11. Article
  12. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Eric KernfeldDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, 3400 N. Charles Street, Wyman Park Building, Suite 400 West, Baltimore, MD, 21218, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2310-8191
Yunxiao YangDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, 3400 N. Charles Street, Wyman Park Building, Suite 400 West, Baltimore, MD, 21218, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3429-3174
Joshua S WeinstockDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, 3400 N. Charles Street, Wyman Park Building, Suite 400 West, Baltimore, MD, 21218, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7013-1899
Alexis BattleDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, 3400 N. Charles Street, Wyman Park Building, Suite 400 West, Baltimore, MD, 21218, USA. ajbattle@jhu.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5287-627X
Patrick CahanDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, 3400 N. Charles Street, Wyman Park Building, Suite 400 West, Baltimore, MD, 21218, USA. patrick.cahan@jhmi.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3652-2540

Funding

From intra to intercellular regulatory networks that define cell type identityR35GM124725 · NIGMS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Patrick Cahan · 2017 to 2026
$4.5M
Modeling the dynamicimpact of rare and common genetic variation on gene expression anddiseaseR35GM139580 · NIGMS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI BATTLE, ALEXIS · 2021 to 2025
$3.1M
National Institute Of General Medical Sciences of the National Institutes of Health, United States R35GM124725National Institutes of Health, United States R35GM139580NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM124725NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM139580
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Diverse machine learning methods promise to forecast gene expression changes in response to novel genetic perturbations. However, these methods' accuracy is not well characterized. We created a benchmarking platform that combines a panel of 11 large-scale perturbation datasets with an expression forecasting software engine that encompasses or interfaces to a wide variety of methods. We used our platform to assess methods, parameters, and sources of auxiliary data, finding that it is uncommon for expression forecasting methods to outperform simple baselines. Our platform will serve as a resource to improve methods and to identify contexts in which expression forecasting can succeed.

Indexed as

Computational BiologyGene Expression ProfilingSoftwareHumansMachine LearningExpression forecastingExpression predictionGene regulatory networkNetwork inferencePerturb-seqTranscriptional regulationTranscription factor

Identifiers

PMID41250104
PMCPMC12621394

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.