Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41249901›Full record

ArticleBMC emergency medicine2025

Pre-CT risk stratification using the D-dimer/pCO₂ ratio in D-dimer-positive emergency department patients: diagnostic accuracy study.

Cem Yıldırım, Ahmet Aykut, Ertuğ Günsoy, Mehmet Veysel Öncül

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Article in BMC emergency medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Cem YıldırımEmergency Department, SBU. Van Education and Research Hospital, Van, Turkey. yildirimcem06@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0004-5359-6335
Ahmet AykutEmergency Department, SBU. Van Education and Research Hospital, Van, Turkey.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0001-3173-8994
Ertuğ GünsoyEmergency Department, SBU. Van Education and Research Hospital, Van, Turkey.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9653-3236
Mehmet Veysel ÖncülEmergency Department, SBU. Van Education and Research Hospital, Van, Turkey.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3865-8364

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe diagnostic utility of the D-dimer/pCO₂ ratio for pulmonary embolism (PE) risk stratification has not been fully established. This study evaluated its diagnostic performance among emergency department patients with positive age-adjusted D-dimer results undergoing computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA).

methodsThis retrospective diagnostic accuracy study included 698 adult patients with positive age-adjusted D-dimer results, venous blood gas (VBG) pCO₂ measurements, and definitive CTPA interpretation. The D-dimer/pCO₂ ratio was calculated, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed. Optimal and exploratory thresholds were assessed for overall PE detection and for excluding central PE. Robustness was tested using bootstrap validation and subgroup AUC comparisons. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was applied to evaluate clinical utility.

resultsPE was confirmed in 90 patients (12.9%). The ratio demonstrated good discrimination (AUC: 0.811, 95% CI: 0.775-0.847). At the optimal cut-off (44.91), sensitivity was 82.2% and specificity 71.1%, with a negative predictive value (NPV) of 96.4%. A lower cut-off (18.1) identified 91 patients with no observed PE (0/91; 95% CI upper bound for false negatives ≈ 4.0%). A higher threshold (61.25) identified 515 patients below this value, among whom no central PE was observed (0/515; 95% CI upper bound ≈ 0.7%). Discriminative ability was preserved across age groups (AUC range: 0.737-0.836). DCA showed modest, range-specific net benefit for incorporating the ratio within a low-to-intermediate threshold band.

conclusionIn D-dimer-positive ED patients already being considered for CTPA, the D-dimer/pCO₂ ratio is an adjunctive imaging triage indicator rather than a stand-alone test and may help inform the imaging workflow in this defined context. These findings should not be extrapolated to D-dimer-negative patients or those with very high pretest probability.

Indexed as

Carbon DioxideFibrin Fibrinogen Degradation ProductsPulmonary EmbolismAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkersBlood Gas AnalysisComputed Tomography AngiographyEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesBiomarkersCarbon DioxideFibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Productsfibrin fragment DBlood gas analysisCarbon dioxideClinical decision supportD-dimerDiagnostic accuracyPulmonary embolism

Identifiers

PMID41249901
PMCPMC12625727

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.