Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41249037›Full record

ArticleHeart (British Cardiac Society)2026

Isolated non-specific electrocardiographic ST-T abnormalities and risk of incident heart failure and its subtypes.

Satoshi Shoji, Nicole Wilson, Emily B Levitan, Suzanne E Judd, Charles D Nicoli, Parag Goyal, Monika M Safford, Virginia J Howard, George Howard, Elsayed Z Soliman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heart (British Cardiac Society), 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Satoshi ShojiDuke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, North Carolina, USA satoshi.shoji@duke.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-2223-7215
Nicole WilsonDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
Emily B LevitanDepartment of Epidemiology, Univ Alabama Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5429-3852
Suzanne E JuddDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
Charles D NicoliJohns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8377-1024
Parag GoyalDivision of General Internal Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York City, New York, USA.
Monika M SaffordDivision of General Internal Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York City, New York, USA.
Virginia J HowardDepartment of Epidemiology, Univ Alabama Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
George HowardDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
Elsayed Z SolimanEpidemiological Cardiology Research Center (EPICARE), Department of Epidemiology, Division of Public Health, Wake Forest School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, North Carolina, USA.

Funding

VCID and Stroke in a Bi-racial National CohortU01NS041588 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI CUSHMAN, MARY, HOWARD, GEORGE · 2002 to 2022
$96.0M
REGARDS - MI StudyR01HL080477 · NHLBI · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI LEVITAN, EMILY B, SAFFORD, MONIKA M · 2006 to 2020
$11.6M
REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke-Myocardial Infarction-4 (REGARDS-MI-4)R01HL165452 · NHLBI · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI LEVITAN, EMILY B, SAFFORD, MONIKA M · 2022 to 2025
$8.3M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL080477NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL165452NINDS NIH HHS U01 NS041588
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIsolated non-specific ST-T abnormalities (NSSTTAs), a common finding on ECGs, were associated with an increased risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke. However, their association with heart failure (HF) is not well documented.

methodsThis analysis included REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke participants who were free of HF, CHD or major ECG abnormalities at baseline (2003-2007). NSSTTAs were defined from baseline ECG using the standards of Minnesota ECG classification. Incident HF events through 2020 were determined from a physician-adjudicated review of hospitalisation medical records and cause of death. Participants with ejection fraction (EF) ≥50% were considered to have HF with preserved EF (HFpEF), and the rest with EF <50% represented HF with either reduced or mildly reduced EF (HFrEF/HFmrEF). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models examined the association between isolated NSSTTAs and HF. Separate, cause-specific Cox models were used to examine the association with HF subtypes, treating them as competing risks.

resultsAmong 13 914 participants (mean age: 63.1±9.0 years; 60.1% women; 40.0% black), 3859 (28%) had isolated NSSTTAs. Over a median follow-up of 13.5 years (IQR: 7.9-15.6), isolated NSSTTAs were associated with an increased risk of incident HF (HR: 1.83, 95% CI 1.53 to 2.19). Isolated NSSTTAs were associated with an increased risk of both HFrEF/HFmrEF (HR: 2.19; 95% CI 1.64 to 2.93) and HFpEF (HR: 1.66; 95% CI 1.23 to 2.24).

conclusionsIsolated NSSTTAs were associated with an increased risk of developing both HFrEF/HFmrEF and HFpEF. These findings challenge the assumption that NSSTTAs are benign and suggest their potential role in HF risk stratification.

Indexed as

ElectrocardiographyHeart FailureAgedFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsStroke VolumeUnited StatesElectrocardiographyEpidemiologyHeart FailureHeart Failure, DiastolicHeart Failure, Systolic

Identifiers

PMID41249037
PMCPMC13488868

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.