Evidence map›Paper›PMID 41246325›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in immunology2025

Construction and validation of a risk prediction model for hyperamylasemia after kidney transplantation.

Linde Li, Guifeng Dang, Feiyi Du, Meisi Li, Qianhua Ma, Ning Wen, Jiqiu Wen, Jianhui Dong, Xuyong Sun

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in immunology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Linde Li *Institute of Transplant Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Guangxi Clinical Research Center for Organ Transplantation, Guangxi Key Laboratory of Organ Donation and Transplantation, Nanning, China.
Guifeng Dang *Institute of Transplant Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Guangxi Clinical Research Center for Organ Transplantation, Guangxi Key Laboratory of Organ Donation and Transplantation, Nanning, China.
Feiyi Du *Institute of Transplant Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Guangxi Clinical Research Center for Organ Transplantation, Guangxi Key Laboratory of Organ Donation and Transplantation, Nanning, China.
Meisi LiInstitute of Transplant Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Guangxi Clinical Research Center for Organ Transplantation, Guangxi Key Laboratory of Organ Donation and Transplantation, Nanning, China.
Qianhua MaInstitute of Transplant Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Guangxi Clinical Research Center for Organ Transplantation, Guangxi Key Laboratory of Organ Donation and Transplantation, Nanning, China.
Ning WenInstitute of Transplant Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Guangxi Clinical Research Center for Organ Transplantation, Guangxi Key Laboratory of Organ Donation and Transplantation, Nanning, China.
Jiqiu WenInstitute of Transplant Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Guangxi Clinical Research Center for Organ Transplantation, Guangxi Key Laboratory of Organ Donation and Transplantation, Nanning, China.
Jianhui DongInstitute of Transplant Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Guangxi Clinical Research Center for Organ Transplantation, Guangxi Key Laboratory of Organ Donation and Transplantation, Nanning, China.
Xuyong SunInstitute of Transplant Medicine, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Guangxi Clinical Research Center for Organ Transplantation, Guangxi Key Laboratory of Organ Donation and Transplantation, Nanning, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Kidney transplantation (KT) is the preferred treatment for patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD); however, postoperative hyperamylasemia (HA) remains common and has been associated with acute rejection (AR), infection, and impaired graft function. Early identification of HA risk factors is essential to improve outcomes of kidney transplant recipients (KTR). This study aimed to develop and internally validate a novel nomogram for predicting the risk of HA after KT, thereby supporting personalized monitoring, prevention and intervention strategies. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed KTR treated at the Transplant Medicine Institution of the Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University from July 2021 to June 2022. Based on admission dates, patients were assigned to a training cohort (n=243, July 2021 to March 2022) and a validation cohort (n=107, April 2022 to June 2022). In the training cohort, risk factors of HA were identified using logistic regression, Lasso regression and clinical consideration. Subsequently, a nomogram was developed to predict HA risk in patients who underwent KT based on the identified variables. Model performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: A total of 350 KTR and their corresponding 182 donors were enrolled in this study. The nomogram incorporated six predictive factors: recipient preoperative white blood cell (WBC) count, induction, tacrolimus (FK506) trough concentration, AR, donor age, and donor total bilirubin (TBIL) level according to results of logistic regression, Lasso regression and clinical consideration. The nomogram showed moderate predictive performance, with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.730 (Youden index = 0.683) in the training cohort and 0.731 (Youden index = 0.767) in the validation cohort. Furthermore, calibration plots indicated close agreement between predicted and actual outcomes, and DCA confirmed net clinical benefit across a range of threshold probabilities. Conclusions: A novel nomogram was established to predict HA after KT, which may support early risk stratification and personalized management of KTR. External multicenter validation is needed before clinical implementation.

Indexed as

Kidney TransplantationNomogramsPostoperative ComplicationsAdultFemaleGraft RejectionHumansMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsROC Curvehyperamylasemiainternal validationkidney transplantationnomogramprediction

Identifiers

PMID41246325
PMCPMC12611703

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